Friday, September 8, 2017

Cincinnati prediction based on historical data



Michigan is 206-60-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 26-6 in the 2nd attended games of the season
M is 37-4 in the first attended home game of the season
M is 72-16 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 17-9 vs. teams from the state of Ohio
M is 18-3 vs. schools with their city in the university[1]
M is 2-0 vs. schools from the American Athletic Conference (5-0 against all current members)
M is 171-44-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 118-21 vs. schools with non-human, animal based mascots
M is 133-43-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine[2]
M is 30-7 when the first letter of the opponent’s school name is 1 letter before the first letter of the nickname[3]
M is 28-6 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 79-21-1 in noon starts
M is 3-0 on September 9
M is 8-2 when ranked #8
M is 149-24-1 vs. unranked opponents
M is 132-68 on artificial turf
M is 1-0 vs. Luke Fickell
M is 3-2 when facing a head coach for the first time at a second school

It's easy when you look at the numbers
M 41
C 7


[1] For the purposes of this post I do NOT consider Notre Dame to be in Notre Dame, Indiana, but I do consider University of Miami to be in Miami, Florida.
[2] This surprises me, I would have thought a Wolverine was bigger than a Bearcat. Although they has some similar characteristics – wolverines are members of the weasel family, whereas bearcats are members of the civet family
[3] This includes the Akron Zips

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