M vs Fresno State prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 254-67-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)

Fresno State will be the 73rd school I have seen M play and the 77th team I have seen play overall – 

M is 57-15 when facing a team for the first time
M is 39-6 in the first attended game of the season
M is 97-23 vs non-conference opponents
M is 9-1 vs the American Athletic conference
M is 6-2 vs schools from California
M is 15-4 vs schools from the pacific time zone
M is 166-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 8-2 vs teams with canine based nicknames
M is 186-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 6-2 when ranked #9
M is 4-0 on August 31
M is 245-62-1 on Saturday
M is 210-47-1 at Michigan Stadium
M is 8-0 after consecutive (attended) games away from Michigan Stadium
M is 25-6 in night games
M is 5-1 when their head coach is in his first (full head coaching) game

It's easy when you look at the data

M 35

California State University at Fresno 10

2024 M Football Season Prediction

8/31 Fresno State W

9/7 Texas, L

9/14 Arkansas St W

9/21 USC W

9/28 Minnesota W

10/5 @ Washington W

10/19 @ Illinos W

10/26 MSU W 

11/2 Oregon W

11/9 @ Indiana W

11/23 Northwestern W

11/30 @ OSU L

12/7 M loses coin flip and does not qualify for B1G Championship game

12/21 LSU W

12/31 Clemson W

1/9 OSU W

1/20 Georgia L

14-3 National Runner up

Season Prediction 2024

8-4, win in bowl game

2024 College Football Championship Prediction

Michigan 31

Washington 25

CFP Championship prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 253-67-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 14-4 vs schools from the Pacific time zone
M is  14-3 playing in the central time zone
M is 9-5 in January
M is 96-23 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 7-2 vs teams with canine nicknames
M is 10-6 vs. schools from the Pac 10 or Pac 12
M is 2-0 vs Washington
M is 5-0 vs all schools from Washington
M is 42-20 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 1-1 in games played in Texas
M is 7-7 west of the Mississippi River
M is 10-10 in stadiums that have hosted the Super Bowl
M is 7-6 in NFL stadiums
M is 171-39 on artificial turf
M is  5-3 in domes
M is 2-2 when playing for their 12th consecutive attended win
M is 165-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 76-13 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 7-1 vs teams with head coaches that have more than one capital letter in their last name
M football is 53-6-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 91-42 vs ranked opponents
M is 4-1 when ranked #1
M is 4-2 vs teams ranked #2
M is 14-7 when ESPN Gameday is on site
M is 3-1 on Monday
M is 129-44 when Hoot and I are confirmed to be in attendance
M is 24-6 in night games
M football and M hockey 2-0 when playing for a National Championship

It's easy when you look at the data:

M 35

Washington 21

Huskies bring Trophy to CFP Championship

Washington and Michigan will be facing off Monday night for College Football's Greatest Trophy and the College Football Playoff Championship Trophy as well!

• The Huskies have rattled off 17 consecutive wins after taking the Trophy from Oregon last November.
• The last 17 game trophy holder win streak was Ohio State from November of 2018 until they lost in the CFP Semifinal vs. Clemson in 2019
• The most recent streak to go beyond 17 was USC with 25, from the 2004 Rose Bowl over Michigan to the 2006 Rose Bowl loss to Texas
• The longest trophy holding streaks are: 
1. Yale 36 (1891-1893)
   
2. Miami (Fl) 31 (2000-2002)
3. Yale 29 (1888-1889) 
4. Princeton 25 (1879-1882)
   
5. Harvard 25 (1912-1915)
   
6. USC 25 (2004-2006)
7. Yale 24 (1882-1885)
   
8. Pennsylvania 24 (1894-1896)
   
9. USC 24 (1978-1980)
10. Harvard 23 (1898-1900)
    
11. Army 21 (1948-1950)
    
12. Mississippi 19 (1959-1961)
13. Pennsylvania 18 (1897-1898)
    
14. Tennessee 18 (1938-1939)
• Michigan's longest streak is 8 games in 1972
• The Wolverines last held the Trophy in 2003 and have a 25-27-1 record in Trophy games
• Washington's record now stands at 45-23 in Trophy games

One of these two schools will carry the Trophy into the new Big Ten next season

 Go Blue!

Rose Bowl Victors!

 I think I’ve only taken videos of 3 plays in all the games I’ve attended. 

• Denard scoring a late TD to beat Indiana in 2010
• Last second field goal to win Sugar Bowl over Virginia Tech
• And the overtime stop to beat Alabama!