CFP Championship prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 253-67-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 14-4 vs schools from the Pacific time zone
M is  14-3 playing in the central time zone
M is 9-5 in January
M is 96-23 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 7-2 vs teams with canine nicknames
M is 10-6 vs. schools from the Pac 10 or Pac 12
M is 2-0 vs Washington
M is 5-0 vs all schools from Washington
M is 42-20 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 1-1 in games played in Texas
M is 7-7 west of the Mississippi River
M is 10-10 in stadiums that have hosted the Super Bowl
M is 7-6 in NFL stadiums
M is 171-39 on artificial turf
M is  5-3 in domes
M is 2-2 when playing for their 12th consecutive attended win
M is 165-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 76-13 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 7-1 vs teams with head coaches that have more than one capital letter in their last name
M football is 53-6-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 91-42 vs ranked opponents
M is 4-1 when ranked #1
M is 4-2 vs teams ranked #2
M is 14-7 when ESPN Gameday is on site
M is 3-1 on Monday
M is 129-44 when Hoot and I are confirmed to be in attendance
M is 24-6 in night games
M football and M hockey 2-0 when playing for a National Championship

It's easy when you look at the data:

M 35

Washington 21

B1G Championship game (2023) prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 251-67-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 6-2 in the 10th attended game of the season
M is 155-44-1 vs conference opponents
M is 14-4 vs.Iowa
M is 87-20 vs. schools with mascots deemed lighter than a Wolverine
M is 41-20 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 2-0 in conference championship games
M is 8-1 vs teams ranked 17
M is 15-5 when ranked #2
M is 19-11 when ranked in the top 5 vs ranked teams
M is 244-62-1 on Saturday
M is 6-6 in NFL stadiums
M is 23-6 in night games
M is 70-8 vs. schools where either the school’s name or nickname was a key character/element or in the title of a tv show or movie I watched as a kid
M is 4-3 in domes
M is 74-13 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 51-6-1 when Juwan Howard has a similar role with the M Basketball team  

It's easy when you look at the data

M 29

Iowa 5

Go Bulldogs!

One year ago today, the match-up was set for the NCAA basketball final. Perennial power Duke would be facing local underdog Butler. The expectation was an easy victory for Duke. Butler took them to the brink. Gordon Hayward's half-court heave rattled out securing Duke's 4th title.
Even with this close a match-up, had the question been asked which of these teams will be back in the final next year. I would have expected the answer to be Duke more than 9 out of 10 times.

And yet Butler is the team playing for the championship tonight. Hayward was their best player last year and is now in the NBA, but somehow, they made it back anyway.

I've heard callers on the local radio complaining that they prefer when the big names teams are playing rather than these small schools. I've heard national "experts" say the TV numbers will be down because no one cares about Butler. Strangely enough, Saturday's match-up were the most watched semi-finals since 2005. I would expect similar numbers tonight.

I think Butler's coach, Brad Stevens, has to be considered the top young coach in the game. I would think any school with an opening will be trying to convince him to leave Butler for greener (like $$$) pastures. I hope he stays.

UConn is facing punishment next season. Jim Calhoun will have to sit out 3 games next season for recruiting violations. Combining that with his rant a couple years back when asked about justifying how much he makes in this economic crisis, makes it easy to root for the under(Bull)dog.

Conference championship games 1993-2009

Using the determined divisions, I went back and looked at which schools would have won the respective divisions each season and determined the Big1T2en championship game match-up (where possible - Nebraska is often a variable)

Here goes:

year	Bo	Woody
2009	Iowa/Neb	OSU
2008	MSU	PSU
2007	M	OSU
2006	M	OSU
2005	M	PSU
2004	M	Wis
2003	M	OSU
2002	Iowa	OSU
2001	Neb	Ill
2000	NU/Neb	PU
1999	Neb/MSU	Wis
1998	M	Wis/OSU
1997	M/Neb	PSU(OSU/PU)
1996	NU/Neb	OSU
1995	NU/Neb	OSU
1994	Neb	PSU
1993	Neb	Wis/OSU

3 possibly 4 times since PSU joined the conference M and OSU would have met the next week. Doesn't appear that there would have been any other next week repeats. And only a few other definite repeats. Only Minnesota and Indiana failed to show up at all in the championship game.

I don't really have a problem with how the divisions came out. Nothing would be perfect, supposedly they based it on the records since 1993.

sarcasmike National Championship

Florida takes on Texas at the Rose Bowl (actually at UCLA since I haven't unlocked the Rose Bowl "game" yet)
5 Texas turnovers make the difference
The final is Florida 51 Texas 21
Florida QB #15 is the game and playoff MVP (the Conn-sarcasMike trophy)
The full tournament bracket is recapped here