Friday, November 12, 2010

trying to get up by two scores

I've been thinking about posting something about Michigan's inability to get a two score lead for a little while. Burgeoning Wolverine Star did the homework. In a way it wasn't as bead as I thought. Because in their losses M was seldom ahead trying to get that 2nd score.

He removed the "blowout" games of UConn and BGSU, so in the other 8 games M has succeeded only twice in 22 tries to get up by two scores. M was 3 for 3 in the UConn and BGSU games (see below) - so they are 5 for 25 on the year.

BWS points to more conservative play calling from RR when M has that one score lead as the potential problem.




OppScorefield posrunpassPen1st Downsresult
UC7-0M205204TD
ND14-7M83101punt
ND14-7M143302punt
ND14-7M370310punt
ND14-7M24102TD
ND21-14M172100punt
ND21-17M275413missed FG
ND21-17ND252210punt
ND21-17M415302missed FG
ND21-17M152512punt
ND21-17ND481200punt
Mass21-17M316003TD
BGSU7-0M123202TD
BGSU21-14M314714TD
IU14-7M191201fumble
IU28-21M132100punt
IU35-28M282100punt
IU35-28M303101punt
IU35-28M392100punt
MSU3-0M132100punt
Iowa7-0M202110punt
Ill7-3M186303Int
Ill7-3M150100Int
Ill7-600000fumble
Ill38-31M206303missed FG
Sum 7151633
Average M252.82.00.21.3



One thing is clear, the games M has lost they haven't had many chances to get up two scores. They're 0-2 in those three losses.
I'd really like M to break this trend and finish this weeks game with a nice calm 1 for 1 and never look back, but

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