M vs Oregon prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 259-69-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 0-1 vs Oregon
M is 2-1 vs all schools from Oregon
M is 18-5 in the 8th attended game of the season
M is 160-45-1 vs conference opponents
M is 89-20 vs. schools with mascots deemed lighter than a Wolverine
M is 215-48 in Michigan Stadium
M is 0-5 vs teams ranked #1 – this is the first time M is facing the number 1 team while they are unranked
M is 3-1 on November 2
M is 250-64-1 on Saturday
M is 34-5 vs schools with bird based nicknames

It’s easy when you look at the data

M 17
Oregon 34

Week 7 Trophy Update

The Trophy Holding Washington Huskies had a bye week last week and will face Oregon this Saturday with The jimPossible-sarcasMike Trophy on the line once again.

• Washington started this run with the Trophy by knocking off the Ducks last November 37-34
• UW is seeking it's 9th straight win - this is already their longest run with the Trophy
• The Huskies are 36-23 in Trophy games and this is their 11th time as Trophy-holder
• Oregon has only been the Trophy-holder that one time and has an overall record of 7-18-1
• The PNW teams have met 4 times in Trophy games with UW winning each time

It seems likely The Trophy will end the regular season in the PAC-12. 

Washington breaks Oregon's Trophy streak

Washington knocked off Oregon 37-34 on Saturday ending the Ducks reign as holders of the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy 

 Oregon had run off 6 wins after taking the Trophy from BYU back in September. 

• Oregon improved their Trophy game record from 0-17-1 to now 7-18-1
• Washington has now won the Trophy 11 times and has an overall Trophy game record of 28-23
• The Huskies ended a Trophy drought dating back to September of 1997
• Washington had lost 8 straight Trophy games before their win over the Ducks
• The Huskies longest streak as trophy holder is 6 wins after defeating a Jim Harbaugh quarterbacked Michigan team in 1984 

Washington hosts Colorado (3-6 in trophy games, 2 time trophy holder) this week before traveling to Wazoo (7-13-1, 2-time Trophy winner) for the Apple Cup to close out the regular season. I did a quick look at the Pac-12 tie breaker rules and I think it is unlikely, but not impossible that the Huskies can make the Championship game. So the chance for a B1G team to play for the Trophy in Pasadena is still alive.

• Washington is 2-1 facing the Wolverines and 0-3 against Ohio State in Trophy games, 
• They have not faced any other B1G teams in Trophy games

 

 

Trophy Update - First time champ Oregon Ducks

 In their 19th try the Oregon Ducks finally won the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy. 

• The Ducks are now 1-17-1 in Trophy games and they travel to Pullman to face Wazzoo this Saturday.
• The Cougars are 7-12-1 in Trophy games and have won the trophy on 2 occasions
• They rattled off 4 wins after defeating Oregon State for the Trophy in October of 1941 before losing to Texas A&M on the Saturday before Pearl Harbor was attacked
  
• And their most recent Trophy Holding was in 1983 with an Apple Cup victory followed by a win to open the 1983 season before losing to Michigan!
• They've only had 3 opportunities since that loss, falling UCLA in 1993 and USC during the Trojans long run in 2004-2005
• Of teams that have won the Trophy, only Rutgers has a poorer winning percentage than the Ducks
  
• The Scarlett Knights are 1-22 in Trophy games - having only won the very first Match-up!
  

Trophy Update - BYU secures the Trophy in OT win over Baylor

BYU held on in overtime to defeat Baylor and win the jiMpossible-sarcasMike trophy for the first time since 1997.

This marks the Cougars 3rd time with the Trophy. 

• They defeated Colorado State in September of 1995, only to lose to Arizona State the next week.
• Their second run started with a win over Tulsa in 1996. They rattled off 7 more wins - including the WAC championship and the Cotton Bowl over Kansas State before losing the 1997 season opener to Washington.
• Prior to Saturday the Cougars had not even played for the Trophy since their 2004 loss to USC.
• BYU has an overall record of 10-5 in Trophy battles
• The Cougars are the first Independent school to have the Trophy since Notre Dame in 1990
• BYU travels to Oregon next week, the Ducks are 0-17-1 in games for the Trophy
• If the Ducks win the will be the 102nd Trophy-holder and the first first-timer since Kansas State in October of 2012.
• While looking up first time winners - I noticed the 1957 Maryland - UNC game was a Trophy game. This is the game the recently deceased Queen Elizabeth attended while visiting the US.
  

jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy update

Amazing comeback by TCU, down 31-0 at the half, they come all the way back to win it over Oregon in triple overtime 47-41.
Full post on the trophy and its potential for next season coming soon.