January Prediction for 2015 record

My 4th annual January guess at Michigan's upcoming football season record
2012 - predicted 9-5 - ended up 8-5
2013 - predicted 10-4 ended up 7-6
2014 - predicted 9-4 ended up 5-7

As you can see my predictions have gotten worse each season.

2015 provides a lot of variables. How much will the new coaching staff improve the Hoke flaws? How will play QB? How will the veteran players take to the new - expected to be tougher - staff?

Here goes:

9/3 @ Utah - L
9/12 Oregon St - W
9/19 UNLV - W
9/26 BYU -W
10/3 @ Maryland - W
10/10 Northwestern - W
10/17 MSU - L
10/31 @ Minnesota - W
11/7 Rutgers - W
11/14 @ Indiana - W
11/21 @ Penn St - W
11/28 OSU - L

Foster Farms Bowl vs. Stanford - W

10-3

That seems way too confident...