A very late "too early prediction" for 2025

vs New Mexico W
@ Oklahoma L
vs Central Michigan W
@ Nebraska W
vs Wisconsin W
@ USC W
vs Washington W
@ Michigan State W
vs Purdue W
@ Northwestern W
@ Maryland W
vs Ohio State L 

Michigan, 10-2, 8-1, does not make the conference championship game, but makes the playoff as the 8th seed.

M hosts the #9 seeded LSU Tigers W

Then faces #1 Texas in the Cotton Bowl L 

2023 M Football Season prediction

15-0 National champions

9/2 vs East Carolina - W

9/9 vs UNLV - W 

9/16 vs Bowling Green - W

9/23 vs Rutgers - W

9/30 @ Nebraska - W

10/7 @ Minnesota - W

10/14 vs Indiana - W

10/21 @ MSU - W

11/4 vs Purdue - W

11/11 @ Penn State - W

11/18 @ Maryland - W

11/25 OSU - W

12/2 B1G Championship vs Wisconsin - W

1/1 Rose Bowl/College Football Playoff vs. OSU- W

1/8 National Championship vs Georgia - W

M Season Prediction 2022

 12-1 Rose Bowl Champs

Colorado St - W

Hawai'i - W

Connecticut - W

Maryland - W

@ Iowa - W

@ Indiana - W

Penn St - W

Michigan St - W

@ Rutgers - W

Nebraska - W

Illinois - W

@ Ohio State - L

Rose Bowl vs Oregon - W

M vs MSU prediction based on historical data

 

Michigan is 229-64-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)

M is 26-7-1 in the 6th attended games of the season (2-2 vs. MSU)

M is 139-44-1 vs. conference opponents

M is 18-10 vs. MSU

            MSU is 11-18 in all games I have attended

M is 7-5 in Spartan Stadium

M is 93-32-1 vs. schools with Human based nicknames

M is 149-45-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine

M is 52-10 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team

M football is 29-3-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team

M is 108-25-1 in noon or 12:30 starts

M is 4-0 on October 30th

M is 12-3 when ranked #6

M is 2-5 vs teams ranked #7

M is 9-4 when facing the 6th different coach the opponent

M is 36-13 in trophy games 

 

It's easy when you look at the numbers:

 

M 27

MSU 17

 

 

M Season Presdiction 2021

I'm cautiously optimistic - 10-3

WMU - W

Washington - W

NIU - W

Rutgers - W

@ Wisconsin - L

@ Nebraska - W

Northwestern - W

@ MSU - W

Indiana - W

@ PSU - L

@ Maryland - W

OSU - L

 Las Vegas Bowl vs UCLA - W

Clear sighted predictions for 2020

 At Minnesota - W

MSU -W

At Indiana - W

Wisconsin - W

At Rutgers - W

Penn State - W

Maryland - W

At OSU - L

Match-up Saturday - vs. Iowa - W

Bowl loss to Georgia 8-2

Predictions for 2018 season

I used to do this in January - but the past this year and last year, I forgot...

@ Notre Dame -L
WMU - W
SMU - W
Nebraska - W
@ Northwestern - W
Maryland - W
Wisconsin - W
@MSU - W
Penn State - W
@ Rutgers - W
Indiana -W
@ OSU - L

Tied with OSU for B1G conference - but lose on H2H tie breaker.
 OSU beats Wisconsin in conference championship game, Rose Bowl picks M over UW since M beat them in the regular season.

Rose Bowl vs. Stanford - W

11-2

Go Blue

Oops I forgot to post my January prediction for the 2017 season

In the past I have posted my prediction for the upcoming football season immediately after the season ended, in January.
2012 Predicted 9-5 team ended up 8-5
2013 Predicted 10-4 team ended up 7-6
2014 Predicted 9-4 team ended up 5-7
2015 Predicted 10-3 team ended up 10-3
2016 Predicted 15-0 team ended up 10-3

Overall prediction 53-16; actual record 40-24

Here goes:
Florida - W
Cincinnati - W
Air Force - W
Purdue - W
MSU - W
Indiana - W
Penn State -L
Rutgers - W
Minnesota -W
Maryland - W
Wisconsin - W
OSU - L
Outback Bowl - Auburn - W

11-2

January Prediction for 2016 record

My 5th annual January prediction for Michigan's upcoming football season record.

2012 - predicted 9-5 - ended up 8-5
2013 - predicted 10-4 - ended up 7-6
2014 - predicted 9-4 - ended up 5-7
2015 - predicted 10-3 - ended up 10-3

What will the Harbaugh magic bring for 2016?

9/3 - Hawai'i - Win
9/10 - Central Florida - Win
9/17 - Colorado - Win
9/24 - Penn State - Win
10/1 - Wisconsin - Win
10/8 - @ Rutgers - Win
10/22 - Illinois - Win
10/29 - @ MSU - Win
11/5 - Maryland - Win
11/12 - @ Iowa - Win
11/19 - Indiana - Win
11/26 - @ OSU - Win
12/2 - B1G Championship game - Northwestern - Win
12/31 - Fiesta Bowl - Baylor - Win
1/9 National Championship Game - Alabama - Win

15-0 , why not?

Maryland Prediction based on stealing from other blogs

MVictors has a post on previous Michigan games that have been changed from their original schedule.

M is 4-1 in the games he mentions. The only loss was the 1963 game that included my cousin Barry Dehlin. Barry and his teammates got revenge in Columbus the next season and went on to the 1965 Rose Bowl.

I also remember the Minnesota game in 2003 being moved to a Friday night because the Twins were in the playoffs. That game was the John Navarre transcontinental comeback game. So that brings M's record to 5-1.

Saturday should make 6 wins.

M 24
UM-CP 3

2015 sarcasMike season prediction

Back in January I said 9-3 with a bowl win. As much as I want that to be true - I have a feeling that 8-4 going into the bowl is more likely. Not sure where the extra loss is - probably either Minnesota or Penn State.

Let's add a bowl win to make it 9-4.

Go Blue!

January Prediction for 2015 record

My 4th annual January guess at Michigan's upcoming football season record
2012 - predicted 9-5 - ended up 8-5
2013 - predicted 10-4 ended up 7-6
2014 - predicted 9-4 ended up 5-7

As you can see my predictions have gotten worse each season.

2015 provides a lot of variables. How much will the new coaching staff improve the Hoke flaws? How will play QB? How will the veteran players take to the new - expected to be tougher - staff?

Here goes:

9/3 @ Utah - L
9/12 Oregon St - W
9/19 UNLV - W
9/26 BYU -W
10/3 @ Maryland - W
10/10 Northwestern - W
10/17 MSU - L
10/31 @ Minnesota - W
11/7 Rutgers - W
11/14 @ Indiana - W
11/21 @ Penn St - W
11/28 OSU - L

Foster Farms Bowl vs. Stanford - W

10-3

That seems way too confident...

Maryland Prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 189-56-1 in all games I have attended (data is for games I have attended unless otherwise noted)
M is 124-41-1 in conference games
M is 159-41-1 at Michigan Stadium
M is 3-0 versus Maryland

The last time I saw M play Maryland was in 1990. this got me thinking what is the longest gap, game-wise, I've gone seeing M play a particular team. 

I have seen 194 Michigan games since they last played Maryland (145-48-1). The next longest gaps are USC (110 from the 1988 Rose Bowl to the 2004 Rose Bowl); Alabama (105 from the 2000 Orange Bowl to the 2012 game in Dallas); San Diego St (63 from 2004 to the 2011 match-up) and Utah (50 from 2000 through 2008).

There are teams with current longer streaks than Maryland, including Oregon St, Arizona St, Long Beach St, Miami (Fl), Wake Forest, and UCLA.

In conference games Penn State and Illinois both had 43 game runs. Iowa went 40 games. Wisconsin is the active leader with 37 games and counting.

M is 27-10-1 in the final home game of the season
M is 6-6 in the 9th game of the season
M is 32-5 versus teams with Nicknames of  egg laying animals
M is 15-4 against teams coached by someone I've seen coach a different team against Michigan
M is 164-47-1 without Frank Clark on the roster
 M is 13-2 when they'll be lead by Jim Harbaugh in their next game

It's easy when you add it all together

M 24
MD 17

Northwestern prediction based on the 1st time Anthony Carter touched the football vs Northwestern

M 21 N 14

Indiana prediction based on historical data

M is 188-56-1 in all games I have attended (data is for games I attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 158-41-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 123-41-1 in conference games

M is 14-0 against Indiana

M is 31-20 when unranked

M is 137-24-1 vs, unranked opponents

M is 11-5 in the 8th game I've attended in a season
M is 31-7 on their homecoming (33-7 on all homecomings)
M is 11-2 against teams with head coaches that share the last name with the main character playing opposite Tom Hanks in a Tom Hanks movie (volleyballs count)

It's easy when you add it all up

M 22
IU 21

MSU Prediction based on historical data

M is 188-55-1 in all games I have attended (data is for games I attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 30-14 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 6-4 at Spartan Stadium
M is 0-1 when playing at the same away stadium in consecutive seasons
M is 123-40-1 in conference games

M is 16-7 vs Michigan State

M is 31-19 when unranked

M is 51-31 vs. ranked opponents

M is 8-6 when unranked playing a ranked opponent (lost 6 of last 7)

M is 17-6 in the 7th game I've seen in a season

It's easy when you add it all up

M 7
MSU 27

Penn State prediction based on historical data

M is 187-55-1 in all games I have attended (data is for games I attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 157-41-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 122-40-1 in conference games

M is 7-3 in night games 

M is 2-0 #UNDERTHELIGHTS™

M is 1-2 wearing Dave Brandon/adidas's UNIFORMZ

M is 8-2 vs Penn State

M is 30-19 when unranked

M is 136-24-1 vs, unranked opponents

M is 5-3 after 3 (or more) consecutive losses 

M is 20-7-1 in the 6th game I've seen in a season

It's easy when you add it all up

M 27
PSU 24

Minnesota Prediction based on Historical Data

M is 187-53-1 in all games have attended (all data is from games I have attended unless otherwise noted)
M is 157-37-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 122-38-1 in conference games
M is 14-2 against Minnesota
M is 30-17 when unranked
M is 136-22-1 against unranked opponents
M is 0-1 when facing teams for the 17th time
M is 24-5 in the 4th game I've seen in a season
M is 24-4 against teams with rodent/weasel mascots
M is 22-3 against teams coached by men whose last name is a common verb
M is 23-5 when there is uncertainty about who will start at QB (admittedly there is a lot of looking back with speculation in this number)




M is 34-10 when #7 starts at QB (making an assumption here)

It's easy when you add it all together:

Michigan 16
Minnesota 14

Utah prediction based on Historical data

Michigan is 187-52-1 in all games I have attended (all data is for games I have attended unless otherwise noted)
M is 65-14 in non-conference games
M is 30-16 when unranked
M is 136-21-1 against unranked opponents
M is 157-36-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 1-1 against Utah
M is 18-5-1 against teams with Native American Nicknames
M is 28-1 in the third attended game of the season
M is 3-1 against teams that have represented multiple conferences
M is 21-4-1 against teams that have their nickname start with the same letter as their school name

It's easy when you add it all up...

M 28
U 31

January Prediction for M 2014 record

Having predicted M to lose in the conference championship game each of the last two years, I think it is time to step down the expectations.

Appalachian State - W
at Notre Dame -L
Miami (NTM) - W
Utah - W
Minnesota - W
at Rutgers - W
Penn State - W
at MSU - L
Indiana - W
at Northwestern - W
Maryland - W
at OSU - L
Cap One vs. LSU* - L

9-4 - Prove me wrong Michigan, please prove me wrong!

Accuracy check:
2012: Predicted 9-5; ended 8-5
2012: Predicted 10-4; ended 7-6


* I was a year off prediction M vs. Kansas State, so I'll try to double up on my LSU prediction