Wednesday, September 13, 2017

Air Force prediction based on historical data



Michigan is 207-60-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 30-2 in the 3rd attended games of the season
M is 73-16 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 1-0 vs Air Force
M is 5-1 vs. schools from the Mountain West Conference
M is 54-11-1 vs. a school from the same state as a team I had seen M play the previous season
M is 172-44-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 119-21 vs. schools with non-human, animal based mascots
M is 28-5 vs. schools with bird based mascots
M is 73-17 vs. schools with mascots deemed lighter than a Wolverine
M is 29-6 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 80-21-1 in noon starts
M is 1-1 on September 16
M is 6-0 when ranked #7
M is 150-24-1 vs. unranked opponents
M is 133-68 on artificial turf
M is 4-0 vs. head coaches with the initials T.C.

It's easy when you look at the numbers
M 41
USAFA 17

Friday, September 8, 2017

Cincinnati prediction based on historical data



Michigan is 206-60-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 26-6 in the 2nd attended games of the season
M is 37-4 in the first attended home game of the season
M is 72-16 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 17-9 vs. teams from the state of Ohio
M is 18-3 vs. schools with their city in the university[1]
M is 2-0 vs. schools from the American Athletic Conference (5-0 against all current members)
M is 171-44-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 118-21 vs. schools with non-human, animal based mascots
M is 133-43-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine[2]
M is 30-7 when the first letter of the opponent’s school name is 1 letter before the first letter of the nickname[3]
M is 28-6 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 79-21-1 in noon starts
M is 3-0 on September 9
M is 8-2 when ranked #8
M is 149-24-1 vs. unranked opponents
M is 132-68 on artificial turf
M is 1-0 vs. Luke Fickell
M is 3-2 when facing a head coach for the first time at a second school

It's easy when you look at the numbers
M 41
C 7


[1] For the purposes of this post I do NOT consider Notre Dame to be in Notre Dame, Indiana, but I do consider University of Miami to be in Miami, Florida.
[2] This surprises me, I would have thought a Wolverine was bigger than a Bearcat. Although they has some similar characteristics – wolverines are members of the weasel family, whereas bearcats are members of the civet family
[3] This includes the Akron Zips

Wednesday, September 6, 2017

Cincinnati Prediction

Bridge, University of Cincinnati

Rich Street Bridge, Columbus OH (birthplace of Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickel)

Michigan 35
Cincinnati 8

Thursday, August 31, 2017

Florida prediction based on historical data



Michigan is 205-60-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 36-5 in the first attended games of the season
M is 18-4 when it is actually their first game of the season
M is 71-16 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 2-0 vs. Florida
M is 4-2 vs. teams from the state of Florida
M is 6-2 vs. schools from the SEC
M is 34-16 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 9-0 the second time playing in a particular state
M is 117-21 vs. schools with non-human, animal based mascots
M is 132-43-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 27-6 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 56-23 in 3:30 starts
M is 84-21-1 vs schools playing out of their time zone
M is 11-3 in the central time zone
M is 2-0 on September 2
M is 6-3 when ranked #11
M is 56-36 vs. ranked opponents
M is 7-1 vs. teams ranked #17
M is 40-19 when previous attended game was a loss
M is 131-68 on artificial turf
M is 3-2 in "Alternate Uniformzzzzzzz" (2-0 when Blue is primary; 1-2 when it is not)

It's easy when you look at the numbers
M 28
F 13

Tuesday, August 29, 2017

Florida Prediction

Bridge Over Green Pond, University of Florida


Higgins Street Bridge
Missoula, Montana (birthplace of Florida Coach Jim McElwain)

Michigan 29
Florida 17

Monday, August 28, 2017

Oops I forgot to post my January prediction for the 2017 season

In the past I have posted my prediction for the upcoming football season immediately after the season ended, in January.
2012 Predicted 9-5 team ended up 8-5
2013 Predicted 10-4 team ended up 7-6
2014 Predicted 9-4 team ended up 5-7
2015 Predicted 10-3 team ended up 10-3
2016 Predicted 15-0 team ended up 10-3

Overall prediction 53-16; actual record 40-24

Here goes:
Florida - W
Cincinnati - W
Air Force - W
Purdue - W
MSU - W
Indiana - W
Penn State -L
Rutgers - W
Minnesota -W
Maryland - W
Wisconsin - W
OSU - L
Outback Bowl - Auburn - W

11-2


Friday, August 25, 2017

2017 Season Prediction


Pedestrian Bridge
 University of Michigan Law School



Anthony Wayne Bridge
Toledo, OH (birthplace of Michigan Coach Jim Harbaugh)

Season Prediction:  9-3 (10-3 overall)