Friday, September 8, 2017

Cincinnati prediction based on historical data



Michigan is 206-60-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 26-6 in the 2nd attended games of the season
M is 37-4 in the first attended home game of the season
M is 72-16 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 17-9 vs. teams from the state of Ohio
M is 18-3 vs. schools with their city in the university[1]
M is 2-0 vs. schools from the American Athletic Conference (5-0 against all current members)
M is 171-44-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 118-21 vs. schools with non-human, animal based mascots
M is 133-43-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine[2]
M is 30-7 when the first letter of the opponent’s school name is 1 letter before the first letter of the nickname[3]
M is 28-6 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 79-21-1 in noon starts
M is 3-0 on September 9
M is 8-2 when ranked #8
M is 149-24-1 vs. unranked opponents
M is 132-68 on artificial turf
M is 1-0 vs. Luke Fickell
M is 3-2 when facing a head coach for the first time at a second school

It's easy when you look at the numbers
M 41
C 7


[1] For the purposes of this post I do NOT consider Notre Dame to be in Notre Dame, Indiana, but I do consider University of Miami to be in Miami, Florida.
[2] This surprises me, I would have thought a Wolverine was bigger than a Bearcat. Although they has some similar characteristics – wolverines are members of the weasel family, whereas bearcats are members of the civet family
[3] This includes the Akron Zips

Wednesday, September 6, 2017

Cincinnati Prediction

Bridge, University of Cincinnati

Rich Street Bridge, Columbus OH (birthplace of Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickel)

Michigan 35
Cincinnati 8

Thursday, August 31, 2017

Florida prediction based on historical data



Michigan is 205-60-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 36-5 in the first attended games of the season
M is 18-4 when it is actually their first game of the season
M is 71-16 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 2-0 vs. Florida
M is 4-2 vs. teams from the state of Florida
M is 6-2 vs. schools from the SEC
M is 34-16 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 9-0 the second time playing in a particular state
M is 117-21 vs. schools with non-human, animal based mascots
M is 132-43-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 27-6 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 56-23 in 3:30 starts
M is 84-21-1 vs schools playing out of their time zone
M is 11-3 in the central time zone
M is 2-0 on September 2
M is 6-3 when ranked #11
M is 56-36 vs. ranked opponents
M is 7-1 vs. teams ranked #17
M is 40-19 when previous attended game was a loss
M is 131-68 on artificial turf
M is 3-2 in "Alternate Uniformzzzzzzz" (2-0 when Blue is primary; 1-2 when it is not)

It's easy when you look at the numbers
M 28
F 13

Tuesday, August 29, 2017

Florida Prediction

Bridge Over Green Pond, University of Florida


Higgins Street Bridge
Missoula, Montana (birthplace of Florida Coach Jim McElwain)

Michigan 29
Florida 17

Monday, August 28, 2017

Oops I forgot to post my January prediction for the 2017 season

In the past I have posted my prediction for the upcoming football season immediately after the season ended, in January.
2012 Predicted 9-5 team ended up 8-5
2013 Predicted 10-4 team ended up 7-6
2014 Predicted 9-4 team ended up 5-7
2015 Predicted 10-3 team ended up 10-3
2016 Predicted 15-0 team ended up 10-3

Overall prediction 53-16; actual record 40-24

Here goes:
Florida - W
Cincinnati - W
Air Force - W
Purdue - W
MSU - W
Indiana - W
Penn State -L
Rutgers - W
Minnesota -W
Maryland - W
Wisconsin - W
OSU - L
Outback Bowl - Auburn - W

11-2


Friday, August 25, 2017

2017 Season Prediction


Pedestrian Bridge
 University of Michigan Law School



Anthony Wayne Bridge
Toledo, OH (birthplace of Michigan Coach Jim Harbaugh)

Season Prediction:  9-3 (10-3 overall)

Monday, June 12, 2017

2017 College Football Hall Of Fame Voting

I voted for the first time last year. Looks like only one player and one coach I voted for made it in the class.

I'll use the same criteria this year:

  1. Did they play for Michigan
  2. Have I seen them play in person and the level of success they had against Michigan
  3. Under recognized player I saw enough on TV or heard enough about to earn my vote
  4. "Star" who is likely to get enough votes from others
Criteria 1 yields 3 deserving Wolverines.
Jumbo Elliot - dominant offensive lineman that helped return M to a OL factory
Rick Leach - The Peach - The Guts and Glue of the Maize and Blue
Charles Woodson - Heisman Trophy winner

For the second criteria - there are 16 players I saw play in person on the ballot, so once again I won't have to go past this criteria:
  1. Tyrell Buckley - Great battle with Desmond Howard in 1991
  2. Keith Byars - Injured much of 1985, but played against M
  3. Mark Carrier - Don't remember him from the 1989 Rose Bowl
  4. Kerry Collins - Losing QB in M's first trip to Happy Valley in 1993 - I missed the 1994 game in Ann Arbor
  5. Robert Gallery - I always felt he was overrated at Iowa
  6. Moe Gardner - Stout D lineman from Illinois - I swear jiMpossible called him out on the sideline but he claims not to remember
  7. Dana Howard -Illini linebacker who I saw tie and beat M
  8. Raghib Ismail - shouldn't have kicked to him once, let alone twice
  9. Anthony Poindexter may have played in the Kickoff Classic in 1995
  10. Antwaan Randle El - Had a last second heave to defeat M in 1999 in Bloomington fall incomplete
  11. Simeon Rice - same as Dana Howard above
  12. Taylor Stubblefield - Purdue receiver did not have much success vs. M
  13. Aaron Taylor - DL from Notre Dame - lost to Desmond Howard in '91 and beat M in '93
  14. Troy Vincent - Wisconsin DB - M had no trouble with his Badgers
  15. Michael Westbrook - 1994 Colorado...
  16. Lorenzo White - 1987 at MSU
Easy votes are Buckley, Ismail, Randle El, Westbrook and White. That brings me to 8 votes - so 4 more to go.
I'll go with Byars for his 1984 season, Kerry Collins for his 1994 season, Moe Gardner and Taylor Stubblefield.

For coaches there are 2 options that I saw coach against M, so they get my vote. Frank Beamer - truly deserving even though his team lost to M, and Mack Brown - probably less deserving, but he did ride Vince Young to a Rose Bowl victory over Michigan.