Thursday, October 2, 2025

Michigan vs Wisconsin prediction based on historical data


Michigan is 262-71-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 11-2 vs Wisconsin

  • Discounting UCLA – since M hasn’t played them in conference yet – Wisconsin is the conference school I have seen least recently. I’ve seen M play 32 conference opponents since M last faced Wisconsin (28-4 in those games)

M is 31-8 in the 4th attended game of the season
M is 43-7 on homecoming (41-7 on Michigan’s homecoming)
M is 123-27-1 in noon or 12:30 starts
M is 161-46-1 vs conference opponents
M is 8-0 when ranked 20th
M is 192-28-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 100-26 vs. schools with mascots deemed LIGHTER than a Wolverine
M is 218-49-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 0-2 on October 4
M is 253-66-1 on Saturday
M is 0-0 against Head coaches coaching their 3rd different team against Michigan

  • Fickell will break a tie with 10 other coaches that have led 2 schools against
  • M is 30-10 against 2 school coaches
  • Counting Brady Hoke (M and Ball State), M is 56-21 

 

Is easy when you look at the data 

M 35

W 10 

Friday, September 19, 2025

Michigan - Nebraska 2025

Michigan 21
Nebraska 29

Thursday, September 18, 2025

M at Nebraska prediction based on feeling overdressed

 

Interim coach Biff Poggi is typically a shorts and sleeveless guy. He'll be overdressed again Saturday afternoon in Lincoln. 

Lots of questions about both teams, really.

Is the Michigan offense really opened up for good? Or was that a "make them have to practice against it" sort of game?

Can the M defensive line create pressure against a power 4 O-line? 

Does M have a better plan for the 3-3-5 - TCU-like defense Nebraska employs?

Can M have a game with no special teams mistakes?

Let's go with: Yes, No, Yes, Yes 

 M 24 Nebraska 23 

Saturday, September 13, 2025

Michigan - Central Michigan 2025

Michigan 35
Central Michigan 17

Wednesday, September 10, 2025

M vs CMU post based on historical data

Michigan is 261-71-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 3-0 vs Central Michigan (CMU is 0-5 in all games I have attended)
M is 37-2 in the third attended game of the season
M is 122-27-1 in noon or 12:30 starts
M is 100-25 vs non-conference opponents
M is 3-2 when ranked 23rd
M is 25-1 vs. teams in the MAC
M is 34-11 vs teams from Michigan
M is 173-4-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 217-49-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 2-0 on September 13
M is 252-66-1 on Saturday
M is 5-0 with an interim head coach
M is 13-4 vs teams with a head coach that has a last name that makes one think of a frat party
M is 23-3 in the QB’s 3rd start


It’s easy when you look at the data

M 39

CMU 7 

Trophy Update - Swamp Shocker

The first jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy update of 2025 - South Florida knocks off Florida 18-16.

In their first ever game playing for the Trophy, the Bulls took down their in-state "powerhouse". 

  • The Gators dropped to 28-24 in Trophy Games
  • Prior to USF's victory, the most recent first time Trophy holder was Kansas State in 2012
  • The Bulls are the first to win in their first chance in a Trophy game since Tulsa in 1996 

USF faces another in-state power school in Miami this week. If they pull a second upset, they do not face another "power 4" the rest of the season.

Thursday, September 4, 2025

Michigan - Oklahoma 2025

Michigan 15

Oklahoma 29