Thursday, October 31, 2013

Michig Prediction

Agricultural College of the State of Michigan 29
Catholepistemiad of Michigania 19

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

MSU prediction based on historical data

M is 185-49-1 in all games have attended (all data is from games I have attended unless otherwise noted)
M is 30-15 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 122-35-1 in conference games
M is 76-23-1 on natural surface
M is 16-6 against Michigan State (MSU is 7-16 in all games I have seen them play)
M is 3-1 when ranked 23
M is 1-0 against teams ranked 24
M is 159-32-1 when ranked higher than their opponent
M is 17-5 in the 7th game I've seen in a season
M is 3-1 in the head coach's 24th game (Wins for Mo, LC,and RR loss for Bo)
M is 3-1 when facing an opposing coach for the 7th time
M is 52-9 when their starting QB wears the highest jersey number I have ever seen start at QB for Michigan
M is 0-1 in games that (ultimately or likely) determine the Legends division championship
M is 3-2 when Al Borges has been out-matched by the opposing defensive coordinator

It's easy when you add it all together:

M 21 MSU 16

Friday, October 18, 2013

India Prediction

Catholepistemiad of Michigania 42
State Seminary 27

Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Indiana Prediction based on historical data

M is 184-49-1 in all games have attended (all data is from games I have attended unless otherwise noted)
M is 154-34-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 121-35-1 in conference games
M is 13-0 against Indiana
M is 27-14 when unranked
M is 133-20-1 against unranked opponents
M is 19-9 when unranked facing an unranked opponent (7 losses in RR era)
M is 5-2 when facing teams for the 14th time
M is 19-7-1 in the 6th game I've seen in a season
M is 2-2 in the head coach's 23rd game (Wins for Mo and LC, losses for Bo and RR)
M is 10-2 against teams with head coaches that share the last name with the main character playing opposite Tom Hanks in a Tom Hanks movie (volleyballs count)

It's easy when you add it all together:

M 35 Indiana 28

Friday, October 11, 2013

Mid-October Trophy Update

I haven't posted for a while about the status of the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy. Baylor has been on quite a dominant run since taking it from Kansas State last November.

Baylor has scored 476 points in those 8 games - almost 60 points per game! Tomorrow they head to Manhattan to face the Wildcats they took the trophy from in the first place. Baylor is a 17 point favorite in what is expected to be another high scoring game. The over/under is around 74. This seems low, Baylor's lowest point total this season is 69 points.

Stranger things have happened, but I would expect the trophy to be making a return trip to Waco.

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Penn State prediction based on pure speculation

I don't think I've watched one snap of a Penn State game this season. I don't think I've missed seeing one for Michigan.

In January, I predicted this a loss for Michigan. Although M is undefeated, they haven't been particularly impressive thus far. I think it comes down to turnovers and Borges. If M loses the turnover battle - they'll lose. If Borges has a "no idea what I'm doing" game plan - see MSU 2011, Iowa 2011, Notre Dame 2012; M will lose.

But since they've managed to do just enough thus far...

M 24
Penn St 21

Penn Prediction

Catholepistemiad of Michigania 30
Agricultural College of Pennsylvania 24

Thursday, October 3, 2013

Minne Prediction

Catholepistemiad of Michigania 36
University of Minnesota 18

Minnesota prediction based on historical data

M is 183-49-1 in all games have attended (all data is from games I have attended unless otherwise noted)
M is 153-34-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 120-35-1 in conference games
M is 13-2 against Minnesota
M is 8-0 when ranked #19
M is 132-20-1 against unranked opponents
M is 2-0 when facing teams for the 16th time
M is 20-9 in the 5th game I've seen in a season
M is 23-4 against teams with rodent/weasel mascots
M is 30-7 on their homecoming (32-7 on all homecomings)
M is 21-3 against teams coached by men whose last name is a common verb

It's easy when you add it all together:

M 37 Minnesota 21