B1G Championship game (2022) prediction based on historical data

It has been so long since I've seen M play Purdue - this is the post from the last historical data prediction against them

Aren't 14 team conferences the best...

Michigan is 241-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)

M is 5-2 in the 10th attended games of the season 

M is 1-0 in Conference Championship Games

M is 1-3 in December
M is 149-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 10-3 vs Purdue (Purdue is 4-10 in all games I have seen them play - beating Central Michigan in the 2007 Little Caesar's Bowl)

M is 7-2 when facing a team for the 14th time

M is 40-7 vs all schools from Indiana

M is 38-19 away from Michigan Stadium

M is 4-3 in the state of Indiana (0-2 vs Purdue in Indiana)

M is 5-5 in NFL stadiums (Purdue is 1-0 in NFL stadiums)

M is 3-2 in domes
M is 19-6 in night games

M is 7-2 when facing the 6th different head coach for the opponent

M is 6-1 when playing for their 10th consecutive attended win
M is 157-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 98-33-1 vs. schools with Human based nicknames
M is 64-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 41-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 177-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 6-4 when ranked #2
M is 234-61-1 on Saturday 

 

It's easy when you look at the numbers 

M 37

Purdue 13

Regular season ends for the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy

Washington defeated cross-state rival Washington State in the Apple Cup 53-31 Saturday night to hold onto the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy.

The Huskies are not going to the Pac-12 championship game, so they await their bowl fate. The majority of the "experts" project them facing the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Rose Bowl. This would require, at least, Michigan and USC winning their respective conference title games and making the playoffs, not too much of a stretch. A Michigan loss would put Purdue in the Rose Bowl, but shouldn't affect Washington.

Wherever the Huskies end up, their game with be the 1600th match-up in the history of the Trophy.

• The Huskies move to 30-23 all-time in Trophy games
• Trophy holders are 35-29-1 in Bowl games
  

M vs OSU prediction based on one in a row

I feel like M has been winning in spite of themselves for several weeks. They haven't really played all that well since the Penn State game.

Injuries have been piling up for M, not sure who will be available or even close to 100%

Is the defense any good or have they just been playing bad offenses?

Can JJ recapture some of his early season accuracy?

Will OSU dominate because they're angry about last season or will they feel too much pressure from over 1000 days since they've beaten Michigan?

I don't know, in previous years I might have picked M out of loyalty, but expected them to lose. Last year changed things, right? 

M 42

OSU 27

2022 M-Ohio State Prediction

 M 25

OSU 32

Archer House, Ohio State University

M vs Illinois prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 240-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)

M is 8-8 in the 9th attended games of the season 

M is 2-1 on November 19
M is 148-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 11-3-1 vs Illinois

M is 29-6-1 vs all schools from Illinois

M is 2-1 vs. Bret Bielema

M is 202-47-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 114-26-1 in noon or 12:30 starts

M is 7-5 when playing for their 9th consecutive attended win
M is 156-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 97-33-1 vs. schools with Human based nicknames
M is 63-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 40-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 176-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 11-4-1 when ranked #3
M is 233-61-1 on Saturday 

 

It's easy when you look at the numbers 

M 30

Illinois 9

2022 M-Illinois Prediction

M 30

Illinois 15

Allen Hall, University of Illinois

Washington breaks Oregon's Trophy streak

Washington knocked off Oregon 37-34 on Saturday ending the Ducks reign as holders of the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy 

 Oregon had run off 6 wins after taking the Trophy from BYU back in September. 

• Oregon improved their Trophy game record from 0-17-1 to now 7-18-1
• Washington has now won the Trophy 11 times and has an overall Trophy game record of 28-23
• The Huskies ended a Trophy drought dating back to September of 1997
• Washington had lost 8 straight Trophy games before their win over the Ducks
• The Huskies longest streak as trophy holder is 6 wins after defeating a Jim Harbaugh quarterbacked Michigan team in 1984 

Washington hosts Colorado (3-6 in trophy games, 2 time trophy holder) this week before traveling to Wazoo (7-13-1, 2-time Trophy winner) for the Apple Cup to close out the regular season. I did a quick look at the Pac-12 tie breaker rules and I think it is unlikely, but not impossible that the Huskies can make the Championship game. So the chance for a B1G team to play for the Trophy in Pasadena is still alive.

• Washington is 2-1 facing the Wolverines and 0-3 against Ohio State in Trophy games, 
• They have not faced any other B1G teams in Trophy games

 

 

M vs. Nebraska prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 239-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)

M is 16-5 in the 8th attended games of the season 

M is 3-0 on November 12
M is 147-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 2-1 vs Nebraska
M is 6-4 vs schools from states I've not visited
M is 201-47-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 57-22 in 3:30 starts

M is 12-3 when playing for their 8th consecutive attended win
M is 155-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 96-33-1 vs. schools with Human based nicknames
M is 62-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 39-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team 

M Is 43-10 vs head coaches with a last name that is a relatively common first name
M is 175-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 10-4-1 when ranked #3
M is 232-61-1 on Saturday 

 

It's easy when you look at the numbers 

M 42

Nebraska 13

2022 M-Nebraska Prediction

Michigan 44

Nebraska 11

Neihardt Residence Center, University of Nebraska

2022 M-Rutgers Prediction

Michigan 38

Rutgers 10

Busch Engineering, Science and Technology (B.E.S.T) Hall, Rutgers University

M vs Rutgers prediction based on almost forgetting the game tickets

This weekend we'll be traveling to Jacksonville to celebrate the life of my sister, 6 years ago we were supposed to meet her and her husband in NYC and attend the M-Rutgers game. A hurricane prevented them from attending, and my stupidity almost prevented us from attending...

 

M 78 Rutgers 0