Friday, September 20, 2013

Uke Prediction

Catholepistemiad of Michigania 38
Storrs Agricultural School 17

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

UConn prediction based on historical data


M is 182-49-1 in all games I have attended (data is ONLY for games I have attended unless otherwise mentioned)
M is 62-14 in non-conference games
M is 29-15 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 155-35-1 when ranked
M is 5-1 when ranked #15
M is 131-20-1 against unranked opponents
M is 2-0 with #98 as starting QB
M is 75-23-1 on natural surface
M is 1-0 when facing a team currently in a different conference than the previous time they played (Big 10 – Big Ten – B1G not considered different conferences for this purpose)
M is 4-2 when facing a head coach coaching his second team
M is 5-1 playing before crowds of less than 50,000
M is 23-5 in the 4th game of the season
M is 1-0 vs. Connecticut
M is 3-1 against teams with dog-based nicknames
M is 16-1 when facing a conference for the first time (only loss is to the Southern Conference – App State)

It's easy when you add it all together

M 41
U Conn 17

Friday, September 13, 2013

Ak Prediction

Catholepistemiad of Michigania 49
Buchtel College 11

Home Winning Streaks

As you know from my weekly prediction picks I like to tie things to if I've attended the game or not. Brady Hoke has started his head coaching career at Michigan with 16 straight home wins. The last home game of Rich Rodriguez tenure was the drubbing against Wisconsin. This means my current streak of attended home wins stands at 16. This is tied for my second longest attended home win streak.

Michigan won the first 20 home games I attended. The streak ran from Homecoming 1976 until my first home loss - in 1986 to Minnesota.

The other 16 game streak went from the 2002 blowout of Bobby Williams' Spartans to the tipped pass/fumbled QB sneak loss to Notre Dame in 2005.

The only other double digit streak was 12 games from Tom Brady's 1999 squad drubbing Northwestern ending with John Navarre's horrible performance against OSU in 2001.

It is a little surprising that I have only seen 4 streaks of 10+ consecutive wins. 


Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Akron prediction based on historical data

M is 181-49-1 in all games I have attended (data is ONLY for games I have attended unless otherwise mentioned)
M is 61-14 in non-conference games
M is 152-34-1 at Michigan Stadium
M is 154-35-1 when ranked
M is 5-3 when ranked #11
M is 130-20-1 against unranked opponents
M is 13-1 following  games that have set an new attendance record
M is 20-1 against MAC schools.
M is 1-0 with #98 as starting QB
M is 106-26 on artificial turf
M is 27-1 in the 3rd game of the season
M is 14-4 in games when the next loss would be evenly divisible by 10
M is 23-10 when facing the second team from a particular conference in the same season
M is 3-1 against schools with nicknames containing 4 letters
M is 0-0 against schools coached by the son of a coach M has previously played
M is 13-2 against schools who at the time have the greatest alphabetical distance between their school name and their nickname (current holder is the Wisconsin Badgers - judged to be further apart than WMU Broncos)

It's easy when you add it all together:

M 46 Akron 7

Thursday, September 5, 2013

M - Notre Dame Prediction based on historical data


M is 180-49-1 in all games I have attended (data is ONLY for games I have attended unless otherwise mentioned)
M is 60-14 in non-conference games
M is 151-34-1 at Michigan Stadium
M is 153-35-1 when ranked
M is 8-1 when ranked #17
M is 1-0 when their opponent is ranked #14
M is 25-17 vs. higher ranked opponents
M is 9-4 vs. Notre Dame
M is 10-6 vs. Independents
M is 10-1 with #12 as starting QB
M is 105-26 on artificial turf
M is 54-19-1 when facing schools with human-ish nicknames
M is 22-6 in the 2nd game of the season
M is 32-7 vs. schools from Indiana
M is 33-11-1 vs. teams with adjectives commonly used in their nickname
M is 5-2 in night games
M is 13-4 in games when the next loss would be evenly divisible by 10
M is 2-0 vs. teams that it is likely the last time I will ever see the teams play in person again (Long Beach State has dropped football & Delaware State - just because.

It's easy when you add it all together:

M 23 ND 21

Notre Prediction

Catholepistemiad of Michigania 35
L’Universit√© de Notre Dame du Lac 17