2022 M-TCU Prediction

 Michigan 33

TCU 26

Clark Hall, TCU

Remember the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy

Washington takes on Texas tonight in the Alamo Bowl - but more importantly, the winner will take the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy into 2023.

• Washington is 30-23 in Trophy games
• The Huskies are on their 11th run as Trophy holders
  
• Texas is 10-9 in Trophy games
• The Longhorns are 4 time Trophy-holders 
• Texas last won the Trophy in 2008, with a victory over Oklahoma State
• They lost the following game to Texas Tech and have followed that with 4 consecutive challenger losses
• Most recently losing to TCU in 2015.
• This is the second time the Alamo Bowl has hosted the Trophy match-up
• TCU beat Oregon in 3 overtimes in January of 2016
• If The Huskies hold on to the Trophy they have their 2023 non-conference schedule posted 
• 9/2 vs Boise State
• 9/9 vs Tulsa
• 9/16 at Michigan State
• Texas alo has their 2023 non-conference games listed:
• 9/2 vs Rice
• 9/9 at Alabama
• 9/16 vs Wyoming
  

Fiesta Bowl Prediction based on Historical Data

 Michigan is 242-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)

M is 0-1 in the 11th attended games of the season
M is 8-8 in Bowl games
M is 2-3 in December
M is 92-22 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 17-5 vs “Religious” schools
M is 1-1 vs schools from the Big 12
M is 56-11 when facing a team for the 1st time
M is vs 7-1 all schools from Texas
M is 39-19 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 8-7 when playing their first game in a new state
M is 6-6 west of the Mississippi River
M is 6-5 in NFL stadiums
M is 4-2 in domes
M is 80- 27-1 on natural turf
M is 67-23 in 2:30, 3:30, 4 or 4:30 starts
M is 4-2 when playing for their 10th consecutive attended win
M is 84-19 vs. schools with mascots deemed lighter than a Wolverine
M is 65-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 1-0 vs Sonny Dykes
M football is 42-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 88-41 vs ranked opponents
M is 7-4 when ranked #2
M is 0-2 vs teams ranked #3
M is 18-3 vs. teams with purple as one of their primary colors
M is 235-61-1 on Saturday
M is 122-43 when Hoot and I are confirmed to be in attendance 

It's easy when you look at the data:

M 32

TCU 23

2022 M-Purdue Prediction

Michigan 33

Purdue 20

First Street Towers, Purdue University

        

B1G Championship game (2022) prediction based on historical data

It has been so long since I've seen M play Purdue - this is the post from the last historical data prediction against them

Aren't 14 team conferences the best...

Michigan is 241-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)

M is 5-2 in the 10th attended games of the season 

M is 1-0 in Conference Championship Games

M is 1-3 in December
M is 149-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 10-3 vs Purdue (Purdue is 4-10 in all games I have seen them play - beating Central Michigan in the 2007 Little Caesar's Bowl)

M is 7-2 when facing a team for the 14th time

M is 40-7 vs all schools from Indiana

M is 38-19 away from Michigan Stadium

M is 4-3 in the state of Indiana (0-2 vs Purdue in Indiana)

M is 5-5 in NFL stadiums (Purdue is 1-0 in NFL stadiums)

M is 3-2 in domes
M is 19-6 in night games

M is 7-2 when facing the 6th different head coach for the opponent

M is 6-1 when playing for their 10th consecutive attended win
M is 157-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 98-33-1 vs. schools with Human based nicknames
M is 64-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 41-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 177-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 6-4 when ranked #2
M is 234-61-1 on Saturday 

 

It's easy when you look at the numbers 

M 37

Purdue 13

Regular season ends for the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy

Washington defeated cross-state rival Washington State in the Apple Cup 53-31 Saturday night to hold onto the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy.

The Huskies are not going to the Pac-12 championship game, so they await their bowl fate. The majority of the "experts" project them facing the Ohio State Buckeyes in the Rose Bowl. This would require, at least, Michigan and USC winning their respective conference title games and making the playoffs, not too much of a stretch. A Michigan loss would put Purdue in the Rose Bowl, but shouldn't affect Washington.

Wherever the Huskies end up, their game with be the 1600th match-up in the history of the Trophy.

• The Huskies move to 30-23 all-time in Trophy games
• Trophy holders are 35-29-1 in Bowl games
  

M vs OSU prediction based on one in a row

I feel like M has been winning in spite of themselves for several weeks. They haven't really played all that well since the Penn State game.

Injuries have been piling up for M, not sure who will be available or even close to 100%

Is the defense any good or have they just been playing bad offenses?

Can JJ recapture some of his early season accuracy?

Will OSU dominate because they're angry about last season or will they feel too much pressure from over 1000 days since they've beaten Michigan?

I don't know, in previous years I might have picked M out of loyalty, but expected them to lose. Last year changed things, right? 

M 42

OSU 27

2022 M-Ohio State Prediction

 M 25

OSU 32

Archer House, Ohio State University

M vs Illinois prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 240-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)

M is 8-8 in the 9th attended games of the season 

M is 2-1 on November 19
M is 148-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 11-3-1 vs Illinois

M is 29-6-1 vs all schools from Illinois

M is 2-1 vs. Bret Bielema

M is 202-47-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 114-26-1 in noon or 12:30 starts

M is 7-5 when playing for their 9th consecutive attended win
M is 156-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 97-33-1 vs. schools with Human based nicknames
M is 63-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 40-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 176-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 11-4-1 when ranked #3
M is 233-61-1 on Saturday 

 

It's easy when you look at the numbers 

M 30

Illinois 9

2022 M-Illinois Prediction

M 30

Illinois 15

Allen Hall, University of Illinois

Washington breaks Oregon's Trophy streak

Washington knocked off Oregon 37-34 on Saturday ending the Ducks reign as holders of the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy 

 Oregon had run off 6 wins after taking the Trophy from BYU back in September. 

• Oregon improved their Trophy game record from 0-17-1 to now 7-18-1
• Washington has now won the Trophy 11 times and has an overall Trophy game record of 28-23
• The Huskies ended a Trophy drought dating back to September of 1997
• Washington had lost 8 straight Trophy games before their win over the Ducks
• The Huskies longest streak as trophy holder is 6 wins after defeating a Jim Harbaugh quarterbacked Michigan team in 1984 

Washington hosts Colorado (3-6 in trophy games, 2 time trophy holder) this week before traveling to Wazoo (7-13-1, 2-time Trophy winner) for the Apple Cup to close out the regular season. I did a quick look at the Pac-12 tie breaker rules and I think it is unlikely, but not impossible that the Huskies can make the Championship game. So the chance for a B1G team to play for the Trophy in Pasadena is still alive.

• Washington is 2-1 facing the Wolverines and 0-3 against Ohio State in Trophy games, 
• They have not faced any other B1G teams in Trophy games

 

 

M vs. Nebraska prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 239-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)

M is 16-5 in the 8th attended games of the season 

M is 3-0 on November 12
M is 147-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 2-1 vs Nebraska
M is 6-4 vs schools from states I've not visited
M is 201-47-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 57-22 in 3:30 starts

M is 12-3 when playing for their 8th consecutive attended win
M is 155-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 96-33-1 vs. schools with Human based nicknames
M is 62-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 39-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team 

M Is 43-10 vs head coaches with a last name that is a relatively common first name
M is 175-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 10-4-1 when ranked #3
M is 232-61-1 on Saturday 

 

It's easy when you look at the numbers 

M 42

Nebraska 13

2022 M-Nebraska Prediction

Michigan 44

Nebraska 11

Neihardt Residence Center, University of Nebraska

2022 M-Rutgers Prediction

Michigan 38

Rutgers 10

Busch Engineering, Science and Technology (B.E.S.T) Hall, Rutgers University

M vs Rutgers prediction based on almost forgetting the game tickets

This weekend we'll be traveling to Jacksonville to celebrate the life of my sister, 6 years ago we were supposed to meet her and her husband in NYC and attend the M-Rutgers game. A hurricane prevented them from attending, and my stupidity almost prevented us from attending...

 

M 78 Rutgers 0

2022 M-Michigan State Prediction

Michigan 41

Michigan State 15

Snyder-Phillips Hall, Michigan State University

M vs MSU prediction based on Historical Data

 

Michigan is 238-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 20-10 in the 7th attended games of the season (2-3 vs. MSU)
M is 5-1 on October 29
M is 146-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 18-11 vs Michigan State (MSU is 12-18 in all games I have attended)

M is 31-11 vs. schools from the state of Michigan
M is 232-62-1 vs schools from states I've visited
M is 200-47-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 18-6 in night games
M is 37-14 in Trophy Games

M is 15-2 when playing for their 7th consecutive attended win

M is 26-13 when facing the same team in consecutive seasons with a different starting QB for M (2020 COVID season is left out so 2021 opponents that were played in 2019 count)
M is 154-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 95-33-1 vs. schools with Human based nicknames

M is 48-26-1 vs. schools with ethnic/cultural nicknames
M is 61-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 38-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team 

M Is 8-3 vs. the 6th different head coach for a specific school
M is 174-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 26-3 when ranked #4
M is 231-61-1 on Saturday 

 

It's easy when you look at the numbers 

 

M 40

MSU 17

M-Penn State Prediction

 Michigan 28

Penn State 21

South Halls, Pennsylvania State University

M vs. Penn State prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 237-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 26-8-1 in the 5th attended games of the season
M is 1-1 on October 15
M is 145-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 11-2 vs Penn State
M is 3-0 vs James Franklin (Franklin is 0-4 in all games I've seen)
M is 20-5 when facing a head coach who I have seen coach against a team other than Michigan
M is 231-62-1 vs schools from states I've visited
M is 59-15-1 vs. schools who commonly include an adjective in the nickname
M is 199-47-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 113-26-1 in noon or 12:30 starts
M is 153-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 60-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 37-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 63-41 vs ranked opponents
M is 2-2 vs teams ranked #10
M is 14-1 when ranked #5
M is 230-61-1 on Saturday 

It's easy when you look at the numbers 

M 32

PSU 20

M vs Indiana prediction based on I ran out of time

M 45
IU 17

M-Indiana Prediction

 Michigan 46

Indiana 13

Briscoe Quadrangle, Indiana University

M-Iowa Prediction

 Michigan 29

Iowa 13

Elizabeth Catlett Residence Hall

University of Iowa

M vs Iowa prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 236-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 26-10 in the 5th attended games of the season
M is 4-0 on October 1
M is 144-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 230-62-1 vs schools from states I've visited
M is 37-19 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 27-10 in true road games
M is 1-1 in Iowa City
M is 112-26-1 in noon or 12:30 starts
M is 40-7 vs. schools with egg-laying animal-based nicknames
M is 67-8 vs. schools where either the school’s name or nickname was a key character/element or in the title of a tv show or movie I watched as a kid
M is 83-19 vs. schools with mascots deemed lighter than a Wolverine
M is 59-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 36-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 173-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 25-3 when ranked #4
M is 229-61-1 on Saturday

It's easy when you look at the numbers.... 

M 28

Iowa 18

2022 M-Maryland Prediction

 Michigan 42

Maryland 21

Prince Frederick Hall, University of Maryland

Trophy Update - First time champ Oregon Ducks

 In their 19th try the Oregon Ducks finally won the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy. 

• The Ducks are now 1-17-1 in Trophy games and they travel to Pullman to face Wazzoo this Saturday.
• The Cougars are 7-12-1 in Trophy games and have won the trophy on 2 occasions
• They rattled off 4 wins after defeating Oregon State for the Trophy in October of 1941 before losing to Texas A&M on the Saturday before Pearl Harbor was attacked
  
• And their most recent Trophy Holding was in 1983 with an Apple Cup victory followed by a win to open the 1983 season before losing to Michigan!
• They've only had 3 opportunities since that loss, falling UCLA in 1993 and USC during the Trojans long run in 2004-2005
• Of teams that have won the Trophy, only Rutgers has a poorer winning percentage than the Ducks
  
• The Scarlett Knights are 1-22 in Trophy games - having only won the very first Match-up!
  

M vs. Maryland prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 235-66-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 28-8 in the 4th attended games of the season
M is 3-1 on September 24
M is 143-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 39-8 when playing in a homecoming game
M is 37-8 when playing in Michigan’s homecoming game
M is 229-62-1 vs schools from states I've visited
M is 34-7 vs. teams from the original 13 colonies
M is 198-47-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 111-26-1 in noon or 12:30 starts
M is 39-7 vs. schools with egg-laying animal-based nicknames
M is 82-19 vs. schools with mascots deemed lighter than a Wolverine
M is 58-12 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 35-5-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 172-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 24-3 when ranked #4
M is 228-61-1 on Saturday

It's easy when you look at the numbers....

M 42
Maryland 17