42-27

Sent from my iPhone

M vs OSU prediction based on Historical Data

Michigan is 230-65-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 15-5 in the 8th attended games of the season; 2-0 vs OSU!
M is 141-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 9-10 vs. OSU
M is 194-47-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 108-26-1 in noon or 12:30 starts
M is 80-19 vs. schools with mascots deemed lighter than a Wolverine
M is 53-11 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 30-4-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 12-4 when ranked #6
M is 2-2 vs. opponents ranked #2
M is 8-12 when both teams are ranked in the top 10
M is 30-23 when ranked lower than their opponent
M is 11-6 with ESPN Gameday at their game
M is 1-0 when my sister Kathy has Thanksgiving dinner with us

I am an optimist at heart. I had M with 9 wins at this point and they've exceeded my expectations.

It's the hope that kills you

It's (not so) easy when you look at the numbers

M 38
OSU 35

M-Ohio Prediction

 Michigan 27

Ohio State 35

M vs. Maryland Prediction based on hurry up and get to next week

 The past few times there appeared a decent match-up for the M-OSU game,, Michigan's preceding opponent would expose some previously unknown flaw in the Wolverines. The Buckeyes would exploit it even further the next week and sadness loomed.

• In 2018 Indiana made sure everyone was aware M couldn't really cover crossing routes. 
• In 2015 the Hoosiers pointed out that with Glasgow out, M's run defense was questionable
• In 2007 Wisconsin made it clear that without a healthy Henne, M was a cardboard cut-out of itself
  
• In 2006 GD Brady Hoke's Ball State squad took the Wolverine Defense to the brink

 The Joke is on the Buckeyes this year - there is plenty already out there that people expect them to be able to exploit, nothing Maryland can do change that. Well there is one very BAD thing. Let's hope that doesn't happen...

M 42

Maryland 17

M-Maryland Prediction

 Michigan 36

Maryland 20

Mississippi wins the Trophy from Texas A&M

 Ole Miss held on for a 29-19 victory over the Texas A&M Aggies, securing the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy for the first time since 1967.

This was the second time this season the Rebels attempted to take the Trophy, having lost to Alabama on October 2.

• Ole Miss is 43-14-5 vying for the Trophy
  
• This marks their 5th time as Trophy holder
  
• Their longest streak was 19 games from November of 1958 through November of 1961 (included a tie to retain the trophy)
• The 19 game run was the longest between the Army 21 game holding from 1948-1950 and the USC run of 24 games from 1978-1980.
  
• They followed that with a 13 game run, starting with revenge against LSU in 1962 and going until the aforementioned Sugar Bowl loss to Alabama (2 ties included this time)

Ole Miss should be favored in their final two games of the regular season - next week vs. Vanderbilt and Thanksgiving night in the Egg Bowl vs. Mississippi State.

• The Commodores have only held the Trophy once, in 1955. 
• They defeated Tulane on 11/12/1955, and won the following week vs. Florida before falling to Tennessee.
• Vandy is 2-16-2 in Trophy battles.
• Their last attempt was in 2010 vs. Florida.
• Mississippi State has defeated the Trophy-holder 3 times, most recently in 2020 over LSU.
• The Builldogs are 4-18-2 with COVID DNP vs Auburn last year as well.
• Ole Miss and MSU have met 5 times with the Trophy on the line the Rebels are 3-0-2 in those match-ups.

There is still a mathematical possibility that Ole Miss wins the SEC, two Alabama losses, and 2 wins plus a win over Georgia in the SEC Championship game. Outside of that, there is a slim chance the Rebels may play a B1G team in their Bowl game - increasing the chance that the Trophy finds its way back to Ann Arbor at some point.

M vs. PSU prediction based on what I said earlier - or is it?

 Ever the optimist, I had M sitting at 8-1 going into the Penn State game in my preseason prediction. If you click on that link, you'll also see I picked M to lose in Happy Valley.

I take it back!

M 28

PSU 17

M-Penn State Prediction

 Michigan 27

Penn State 22

Anagram for Penn State Nittany Lions:  A Leanest Ninny Opts Tint

M vs IU prediction based on Historical Data

Michigan is 229-65-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)

M is 19-10 in the 7th attended games of the season
M is 140-44-1 vs. conference opponents
M is 17-0 vs. Indiana
         Indiana is 0-18 in all games I have attended
M is 193-47-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 93-33-1 vs. schools with Human based nicknames
M is 149-46-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 52-11 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 29-4-1 when Juwan Howard is a player or coach for the M basketball team
M is 15-5 in night games
M is 3-0 on November 6
M is 5-2 when ranked #9
M is 168-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 45-19 following an attended loss

It's easy when you look at the numbers:

M 42

IU 13

M-Indiana Prediction

 Michigan 39

Indiana 14

Anagram for Indiana Hoosiers:  Asian Hid Erosion

College Football Playoff Standings don't matter, until they do...

Regardless of what the rankings are tonight, I think only 5 teams control their destiny for the playoffs. Georgia, Michigan St, Alabama, Oklahoma and Ohio State would make the playoffs by winning out.

Here's my thoughts on the hierarchy of who would make the playoffs:

undefeated Georgia

undefeated MSU

1 loss Alabama

undefeated Oklahoma

1 loss Georgia

1 loss B1G champ

1 loss Michigan where MSU is undefeated

undefeated Cincinnati

1 loss Oregon

1 loss Notre Dame

undefeated Wake Forest

2 loss Alabama

1 Loss MSU - loss to OSU

1 Loss B12 champ

 

I thought Michigan was in with winning out, but I don't think they'd get in with this scenario:

12-1 SEC Champ Alabama

13-0 MSU

13-0 Oklahoma

11-1 Georgia

 

The biggest chaos potential would be if the B1G West Champ wins the B1G, not sure a 1 loss MSU or a 2 loss OSU or Michigan makes it in in that scenario