2023 M-Nebraska Prediction

Michigan 28

Nebraska 12

M vs Nebraska prediction based on the last game M game I didn't attend

M 45

N 23

M vs Rutgers prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 245-67-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 29-8 in the 4th attended game of the season
M is 150-44-1 vs conference opponents
M is 5-1 vs Rutgers
M is 27-5 vs schools with colors in the name or nickname
M is 160-47-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 101-33-1 vs. schools with human based nicknames
M is 181-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 10-5 when ranked #2
M is 2-0 on September 23
M is 238-62-1 on Saturday
M is 206-47-1 at Michigan Stadium
M is 116-26-1 in noon or 12:30 games
M is 68-13 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 45-6-1 when Juwan Howard has a similar leading role with the M Basketball team
M is 16-10 against teams whose head coach has been an NFL head coach (in some cases the coach had not yet been an NFL head coach)
M is 40-8 when playing in a homecoming game
M is 38-8 when playing in Michigan’s homecoming game

It's easy when you look at the data

M 38

R 7

2023 M-Rutgers Prediction

Michigan 32

Rutgers 10

M vs BGSU prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 244-67-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 35-2 in the 3rd attended game of the season
M is 94-23 vs non-conference opponents
M is 24-1 vs the MAC
M is 1-0 vs Bowling Green
M is 26-5 vs schools with colors in the name or nickname
M is 84-20 vs. schools with mascots deemed lighter than a Wolverine
M is 32-5 vs. schools with bird based nicknames
M is 180-25-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 9-5 when ranked #2
M is 2-1 on September 16
M is 237-62-1 on Saturday
M is 205-47-1 at Michigan Stadium
M is 20-6 in night games
M is 67-13 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M football is 44-6-1 when Juwan Howard has a similar leading role with the M Basketball team
M is 13-1 against teams coached by a former Michigan Assistant Coach
M is 7-1 when their (acting) head coach is in his first game

It's easy when you look at the data

M 49

BGSU 3

As an aside, the attendance for the first two games of the season were only different by 2 attendees. The opening game was 109,480 and the second game was 109,482. That made me wonder if M had ever announced a duplicate attendance in games I had attended. 

M has announced duplicate attendance 6 times. 

• 107,856 for both the 2002 WMU game and the 2008 Northwestern game.
• 109,295 for both the 2016 Central Florida game and the 2021 WMU game
• 109,432 for both 2004 vs San Diego St and 2007 vs Minnesota
• 111,349 has shown up for both the 2003 Purdue game and the 2006 MSU game
• 111,496 for 2002 vs Iowa and 2019 vs MSU
• 111,747 for 2018 Penn St and 2019 Army

Two numbers have repeated for away games as well

• 47,130 at Northwestern in 2000 and 2005 - must be their sellout number
• 75,802 for 2016 at MSU and the 2017 game in Dallas vs Florida