Wednesday, September 13, 2017

Air Force prediction based on historical data



Michigan is 207-60-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 30-2 in the 3rd attended games of the season
M is 73-16 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 1-0 vs Air Force
M is 5-1 vs. schools from the Mountain West Conference
M is 54-11-1 vs. a school from the same state as a team I had seen M play the previous season
M is 172-44-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 119-21 vs. schools with non-human, animal based mascots
M is 28-5 vs. schools with bird based mascots
M is 73-17 vs. schools with mascots deemed lighter than a Wolverine
M is 29-6 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 80-21-1 in noon starts
M is 1-1 on September 16
M is 6-0 when ranked #7
M is 150-24-1 vs. unranked opponents
M is 133-68 on artificial turf
M is 4-0 vs. head coaches with the initials T.C.

It's easy when you look at the numbers
M 41
USAFA 17

Friday, September 8, 2017

Cincinnati prediction based on historical data



Michigan is 206-60-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 26-6 in the 2nd attended games of the season
M is 37-4 in the first attended home game of the season
M is 72-16 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 17-9 vs. teams from the state of Ohio
M is 18-3 vs. schools with their city in the university[1]
M is 2-0 vs. schools from the American Athletic Conference (5-0 against all current members)
M is 171-44-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 118-21 vs. schools with non-human, animal based mascots
M is 133-43-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine[2]
M is 30-7 when the first letter of the opponent’s school name is 1 letter before the first letter of the nickname[3]
M is 28-6 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 79-21-1 in noon starts
M is 3-0 on September 9
M is 8-2 when ranked #8
M is 149-24-1 vs. unranked opponents
M is 132-68 on artificial turf
M is 1-0 vs. Luke Fickell
M is 3-2 when facing a head coach for the first time at a second school

It's easy when you look at the numbers
M 41
C 7


[1] For the purposes of this post I do NOT consider Notre Dame to be in Notre Dame, Indiana, but I do consider University of Miami to be in Miami, Florida.
[2] This surprises me, I would have thought a Wolverine was bigger than a Bearcat. Although they has some similar characteristics – wolverines are members of the weasel family, whereas bearcats are members of the civet family
[3] This includes the Akron Zips

Wednesday, September 6, 2017

Cincinnati Prediction

Bridge, University of Cincinnati

Rich Street Bridge, Columbus OH (birthplace of Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickel)

Michigan 35
Cincinnati 8

Thursday, August 31, 2017

Florida prediction based on historical data



Michigan is 205-60-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 36-5 in the first attended games of the season
M is 18-4 when it is actually their first game of the season
M is 71-16 vs. non-conference opponents
M is 2-0 vs. Florida
M is 4-2 vs. teams from the state of Florida
M is 6-2 vs. schools from the SEC
M is 34-16 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 9-0 the second time playing in a particular state
M is 117-21 vs. schools with non-human, animal based mascots
M is 132-43-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed heavier than a Wolverine
M is 27-6 with Jim Harbaugh playing a leading role on the team
M is 56-23 in 3:30 starts
M is 84-21-1 vs schools playing out of their time zone
M is 11-3 in the central time zone
M is 2-0 on September 2
M is 6-3 when ranked #11
M is 56-36 vs. ranked opponents
M is 7-1 vs. teams ranked #17
M is 40-19 when previous attended game was a loss
M is 131-68 on artificial turf
M is 3-2 in "Alternate Uniformzzzzzzz" (2-0 when Blue is primary; 1-2 when it is not)

It's easy when you look at the numbers
M 28
F 13

Tuesday, August 29, 2017

Florida Prediction

Bridge Over Green Pond, University of Florida


Higgins Street Bridge
Missoula, Montana (birthplace of Florida Coach Jim McElwain)

Michigan 29
Florida 17