Sunday, June 20, 2010

Big1T2en re-nonalignment

My theory is none of the other sports will need divisions in the new Big1T2en, why does football need them. I'll ignore the obvious answer that you can't/don't want to play all the conference teams during a football season.

Why not keep/assign rivalries, fill out the rest of the schedule rotationally and then whichever two teams end up with the best records, they play in the conference championship. Wouldn't the BCS have preferred that Oklahoma play Texas (or Texas Tech) in the Big 12 championship a couple years ago instead of Missouri?

Here's my rivalry table




TeamRivalry 1Rivalry 2Rivalry 3
IllinoisN'WesternPurdueOSU
IndianaPurdueN'westernMSU
IowaMinnesotaWisconsinNebraska
MichiganOSUMSUMinnesota
MSUMichiganPSUIndiana
MinnWisconsinMichiganIowa
NebraskaIowaPSUWisconsin
N'WesternIllinoisIndianaPurdue
OSUMichiganPSUIllinois
Penn StOSUMSUNebraska
PurdueIndianaIllinoisN'Western
WisconsinMinnesotaIowaNebraska


Nothing would be perfect of course. In fact there is quite a disparity in the quality of each teams trios of rivals. Looking at the past 10 years winning percentage and ordinal ranking of those winning percentages of the trios:




Teamrivalry %Riv rankOrdinalOrd rank
Illinois0.60076666766.006.5
Indiana0.519536667108.3310
Iowa0.6254744.674
Michigan0.60832666756.006.5
MSU0.54825666797.009
Minn0.6485224.172
Nebraska0.63871666734.503
N'Western0.429251110.0011
OSU0.57217333386.678
Penn St0.66370666713.831
Purdue0.4082766671211.0012
Wisconsin0.5970575.835


Funny how PSU fans always think they're getting the shaft from the conference. Looks like they would have the toughest trio. However since the teams would only have 3 rivals every year instead of the 5 they would have in a divisional system, I think it would be more likely the differences would balance out in the remaining 5 or 6 conferences games.

This way you would have had a UM - OSU championship game in 2006 for instance, instead of a geographical OSU vs - Wisconsin(?) or Penn St.

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