Agricultural College of the State of Michigan 29
Catholepistemiad of Michigania 19
Thursday, October 31, 2013
Tuesday, October 29, 2013
MSU prediction based on historical data
M is 30-15 away from Michigan Stadium
M is 122-35-1 in conference games
M is 76-23-1 on natural surface
M is 16-6 against Michigan State (MSU is 7-16 in all games I have seen them play)
M is 3-1 when ranked 23
M is 1-0 against teams ranked 24
M is 159-32-1 when ranked higher than their opponent
M is 17-5 in the 7th game I've seen in a season
M is 3-1 in the head coach's 24th game (Wins for Mo, LC,and RR loss for Bo)
M is 3-1 when facing an opposing coach for the 7th time
M is 52-9 when their starting QB wears the highest jersey number I have ever seen start at QB for Michigan
M is 0-1 in games that (ultimately or likely) determine the Legends division championship
M is 3-2 when Al Borges has been out-matched by the opposing defensive coordinator
It's easy when you add it all together:
M 21 MSU 16
Friday, October 18, 2013
Tuesday, October 15, 2013
Indiana Prediction based on historical data
M is 184-49-1 in all games have attended (all data is from games I have attended unless otherwise noted)
M is 154-34-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 121-35-1 in conference games
M is 13-0 against Indiana
M is 27-14 when unranked
M is 133-20-1 against unranked opponents
M is 19-9 when unranked facing an unranked opponent (7 losses in RR era)
M is 5-2 when facing teams for the 14th time
M is 19-7-1 in the 6th game I've seen in a season
M is 2-2 in the head coach's 23rd game (Wins for Mo and LC, losses for Bo and RR)
M is 10-2 against teams with head coaches that share the last name with the main character playing opposite Tom Hanks in a Tom Hanks movie (volleyballs count)
It's easy when you add it all together:
M 35 Indiana 28
M is 154-34-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 121-35-1 in conference games
M is 13-0 against Indiana
M is 27-14 when unranked
M is 133-20-1 against unranked opponents
M is 19-9 when unranked facing an unranked opponent (7 losses in RR era)
M is 5-2 when facing teams for the 14th time
M is 19-7-1 in the 6th game I've seen in a season
M is 2-2 in the head coach's 23rd game (Wins for Mo and LC, losses for Bo and RR)
M is 10-2 against teams with head coaches that share the last name with the main character playing opposite Tom Hanks in a Tom Hanks movie (volleyballs count)
It's easy when you add it all together:
M 35 Indiana 28
Labels:
football,
historical data,
indiana,
michigan,
predictions
Friday, October 11, 2013
Mid-October Trophy Update
I haven't posted for a while about the status of the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy. Baylor has been on quite a dominant run since taking it from Kansas State last November.
Baylor has scored 476 points in those 8 games - almost 60 points per game! Tomorrow they head to Manhattan to face the Wildcats they took the trophy from in the first place. Baylor is a 17 point favorite in what is expected to be another high scoring game. The over/under is around 74. This seems low, Baylor's lowest point total this season is 69 points.
Stranger things have happened, but I would expect the trophy to be making a return trip to Waco.
Baylor has scored 476 points in those 8 games - almost 60 points per game! Tomorrow they head to Manhattan to face the Wildcats they took the trophy from in the first place. Baylor is a 17 point favorite in what is expected to be another high scoring game. The over/under is around 74. This seems low, Baylor's lowest point total this season is 69 points.
Stranger things have happened, but I would expect the trophy to be making a return trip to Waco.
Thursday, October 10, 2013
Penn State prediction based on pure speculation
I don't think I've watched one snap of a Penn State game this season. I don't think I've missed seeing one for Michigan.
In January, I predicted this a loss for Michigan. Although M is undefeated, they haven't been particularly impressive thus far. I think it comes down to turnovers and Borges. If M loses the turnover battle - they'll lose. If Borges has a "no idea what I'm doing" game plan - see MSU 2011, Iowa 2011, Notre Dame 2012; M will lose.
But since they've managed to do just enough thus far...
M 24
Penn St 21
In January, I predicted this a loss for Michigan. Although M is undefeated, they haven't been particularly impressive thus far. I think it comes down to turnovers and Borges. If M loses the turnover battle - they'll lose. If Borges has a "no idea what I'm doing" game plan - see MSU 2011, Iowa 2011, Notre Dame 2012; M will lose.
But since they've managed to do just enough thus far...
M 24
Penn St 21
Thursday, October 3, 2013
Minnesota prediction based on historical data
M is 183-49-1 in all games have attended (all data is from games I have attended unless otherwise noted)
M is 153-34-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 120-35-1 in conference games
M is 13-2 against Minnesota
M is 8-0 when ranked #19
M is 132-20-1 against unranked opponents
M is 2-0 when facing teams for the 16th time
M is 20-9 in the 5th game I've seen in a season
M is 23-4 against teams with rodent/weasel mascots
M is 30-7 on their homecoming (32-7 on all homecomings)
M is 21-3 against teams coached by men whose last name is a common verb
It's easy when you add it all together:
M 37 Minnesota 21
M is 153-34-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 120-35-1 in conference games
M is 13-2 against Minnesota
M is 8-0 when ranked #19
M is 132-20-1 against unranked opponents
M is 2-0 when facing teams for the 16th time
M is 20-9 in the 5th game I've seen in a season
M is 23-4 against teams with rodent/weasel mascots
M is 30-7 on their homecoming (32-7 on all homecomings)
M is 21-3 against teams coached by men whose last name is a common verb
It's easy when you add it all together:
M 37 Minnesota 21
Labels:
historical data,
michigan,
minnesota,
predictions
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