Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Appalachian State prediction based on historical data

M is 185-52-1 in games I have attended - all data is for games I have attended unless otherwise specified
M is 0-1 against Appalachian State
M is 33-5 in the season opener
M is 5-1 in August
M is 63-14 in non-conference games
M is 134-21-1 against unranked opponents 
M is 28-16 when unranked
M is 17-1 when facing a conference for the first time (only loss to App State in the Southern Conference)
M is 0-1 against teams with the Nickname Mountaineers (Mountaineers are 2-0 in all games I have seen - WVU over Syracuse in 1988)
M is 155-36-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 56-21-1 when facing schools with human-ish nicknames
M is 3-1 in my first game in new seats with my non-student season tickets (again only loss to App St)
M is 3-1 in games at Michigan Stadium when - in my opinion - there was potentially less than 100,000 actually in attendance (Northwestern 1984; Memphis 1995; Purdue 1995; Northwestern 2008)

It's easy when you add it all up

M 38
App St 3

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