Here are the remaining games for teams in consideration.
|team||week 10||week 11||week 12||Conf Champ|
|Oregon||Colorado||Oregon St||asu win|
|Alabama||Miss St||W Carolina||Auburn||?|
|Az St||Oregon St||Wazoo||AZ||ORE loss|
|Baylor||Ok St||Texas Tech||Kansas St|
Here are my assumptions:
Miss St loses to Alabama and Ole Miss
Alabama beats Miss St and loses to Auburn
Ole Miss beats Miss St
Auburn at least beats Alabama
I think you would have a 4 way tie for the SEC West title between Auburn, Alabama, Ole Miss and Mississippi St. I have no idea how the tie-breaker would work.
Missouri (not listed) wins the SEC East - I think as long as they don't lose twice - they will.
Missouri wins SEC Championship Game
FSU wins out including the ACC Championship game
Oregon and Arizona St win out, with Oregon winning the PAC-12 championship game
Ohio State and Nebraska win out - and whichever one wins the B1G championship game, wins it decisively.
Baylor and TCU win out.
Florida St 13-0
Really likely in:
Oregon 12-1 with wins over two 2-loss teams
TCU 11-1 - only loss to 12-1 Baylor
Fighting for the last spot:
Ohio State/Nebraska winner 11-2 - I feel like Ohio State has the stronger case beating MSU on the road? - But Nebraska has the better loss
Missouri 11-2 SEC Champ that lost to Indiana
SEC West Champ 10-3
non-SEC West champs 10-2
This scenario would get us an 8 team playoff NEXT YEAR - or sooner