Michigan - Purdue prediction based on historical data 2025

Michigan is 265-71-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 12-3 vs Purdue (Purdue is 4-12 in all games I have attended)
M is 221-46-1 at Michigan Stadium
M is 43-7 vs all schools from Indiana
M is 23-10 in the 7th attended game of the season
M is 29-7 in night games
M is 164-46-1 vs conference opponents
M is 3-1 when ranked 21st
M is 195-28-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 164-45-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed HEAVIER than a Wolverine
M is 4-1 on November 1
M is 1-0 vs teams coached by Barry Odom, 4-1 vs all coaches named Barry
M is 15-4 when their QB is making is 7th start
M is 183-41 on artificial turf

It’s easy when you look at the data 

M 35
Purdue 10

Follow up from last week, the attendance at Spartan Stadium was 75,085, this ranks 15^th out of the 16 games I have attended there, only the 2023 Michigan game had lower attendance.

October Trophy Update

For those of you keeping score at home, Louisville is the current holder of the jiMpossible-sarcasMike Trophy

 The Cardinals travel to Blacksburg to face Virginia Tech this Saturday.

Having wrested the Trophy from Miami (FL) two weeks ago, Louisville kept the trophy last weekend, defeating Boston College in what my have been the worst combined Trophy game record match-up on record.

• With their win, Louisville is now 2-3 all-time in Trophy games
•  BC fell to 0-8-1
• Virginia Tech has not been particularly successful in their Trophy efforts either, currently 3-17

 

Michigan - Michigan State 2025

Michigan 33

Michigan State 18

M vs MSU prediction based on Historical data (2025)

Michigan is 264-71-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 21-11 vs Michigan State (MSU is 12-21 in all games I have attended)
M is 8-6 at Spartan Stadium (MSU is 7-8 in all games I have attended at Spartan Stadium)
M is 35-11 vs all schools from Michigan
M is 28-9-1 in the 6th attended game of the season
M is 28-7 in night games
M is 163-46-1 vs conference opponents
M is 4-0 when ranked 25th
M is 194-28-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 163-45-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed HEAVIER than a Wolverine
M is 221-51-1 when playing in a stadium named for one of the teams
M is 2-2 on October 25 (0-2 vs MSU)
M is 255-66-1 on Saturday
M is 43-22 when facing a team in consecutive seasons
M is 27-12 when facing a team for the 3rd consecutive season
M is 5-0 vs teams coached by John L or Jonathan Smith
M is 20-2 in games following consecutive games against teams with coaches whose last names begin with the same letter

It’s easy when you look at the data

M 34
MSU 17

Michigan - Washington 2025

Michigan 31

Washington 21

M vs Washington prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 263-71-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 3-1 vs Washington
M is 6-1 vs all schools from Washington
M is 29-10 in the 5th attended game of the season
M is 124-27-1 in noon or 12:30 starts
M is 162-46-1 vs conference opponents
M is 39-23 when unranked
M is 193-28-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 162-45-1 vs. schools with mascots deemed HEAVIER than a Wolverine
M is 11-3 vs schools with canine based nicknames
M is 219-49-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 3-0 on October 18
M is 254-66-1 on Saturday
M is 42-22 when facing a team in consecutive seasons
M is 26-12 when facing a team for the 3rd consecutive season
M is 14-4 vs schools whose head coach has Animal or Water related names
M is 10-2 vs schools whose head coach was a one-time Michigan assistant coach

It’s easy when you look at the data  

M 27

W 25

 

Michigan - USC 2025

Michigan 24

USC 36

M at USC prediction based on old video

We looked into going out to LA for this match-up, but it couldn't justify the cost for such a quick trip. Although M and USC have met 8 times in the Rose Bowl, this will be only the second time they have faced off in the LA Coliseum.

M took down a pretty disappointing USC squad in 1957 by the score of 16-6. Even in black and white, M looks good in their classic road uniforms with the iconic Coliseum facade in the background.

But before moving to the play their home games in the Rose bowl, UCLA also used to call the Coliseum home. So M has played an additional game there, facing the Bruins in 1972. Michigan again prevailed 26-9.

I think it will be closer than either of these previous contests, but M still prevails...

M 27

USC 24 

Michigan - Wisconsin 2025

Michigan 34

Wisconsin 12

Michigan vs Wisconsin prediction based on historical data

Michigan is 262-71-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless otherwise stated)
M is 11-2 vs Wisconsin

• Discounting UCLA – since M hasn’t played them in conference yet – Wisconsin is the conference school I have seen least recently. I’ve seen M play 32 conference opponents since M last faced Wisconsin (28-4 in those games)

M is 31-8 in the 4th attended game of the season
M is 43-7 on homecoming (41-7 on Michigan’s homecoming)
M is 123-27-1 in noon or 12:30 starts
M is 161-46-1 vs conference opponents
M is 8-0 when ranked 20th
M is 192-28-1 vs unranked opponents
M is 100-26 vs. schools with mascots deemed LIGHTER than a Wolverine
M is 218-49-1 in Michigan Stadium
M is 0-2 on October 4
M is 253-66-1 on Saturday
M is 0-0 against Head coaches coaching their 3rd different team against Michigan

• Fickell will break a tie with 10 other coaches that have led 2 schools against
• M is 30-10 against 2 school coaches
• Counting Brady Hoke (M and Ball State), M is 56-21 

 

Is easy when you look at the data 

M 35

W 10