Saturday, January 16, 2010

2010 Prediction

Though it is always possible a few more polls could be entered in CFRC, I think the rankings will pretty much be solid as the final rankings for the season.

M is currently #77 (good showing in the polls, Big Ten). That means M improved 20 spots from end of last season (not 40). I am still going to use 40 spots, because I want to be positive about next season. At # 37, here is what would happen (home field will be applied later.)

Conn #34 Loss

ND #51 Win

Mass Win

Bowling Grn #76 Win

IND #91 Win

MSU #57 Win

Iowa #11 Loss

PSU #10 Loss

ILL #90 Win

PU #68 Win

WIS #18 Loss

OSU #6 Loss

That's 7-5. Conn became a loss after they rose a bit more.

Accounting for home field

Conn #34 This would have to be a home win

at ND #51 I have to count this as a loss

Mass Win

Bowling Grn #76 Win

at IND #91 Win

MSU #57 Win

Iowa #11 Loss

at PSU #10 Loss

ILL #90 Win

at PU #68 Win

WIS #18 Loss

at OSU #6 Loss

Again 7-5.

Wisconsin is the closest thing to a toss doing it this way. Even with that game, M would finish 8-4, and that is with M improving twice as much as the previous improvement. It isn't all that encouraging, but it is an improvement. And with a bowl win, it is a 2-5 game improvement which is rather significant.

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