M is currently #78 (went up one spot since the last ranking). That means M improved 19 spots from end of last season (not 40). I am still going to use 40 spots, because I want to be positive about next season. At # 38, here is what would happen (home field will be applied later.)
Conn #40 Win
ND #47 Win
Mass Win
Bowling Grn #70 Win
IND #92 Win
MSU #60 Win
Iowa #14 Loss
PSU #12 Loss
ILL #88 Win
PU #69 Win
WIS #28 Loss
OSU #9 Loss
That's 8-4.
Accounting for home field
Conn #40 Win
at ND #47 I have to count this as a loss
Mass Win
Bowling Grn #70 Win
at IND #92 Win
MSU #60 Win
Iowa #14 Loss
at PSU #12 Loss
ILL #88 Win
at PU #69 Win
WIS #28 This would be a win
at OSU #9 Loss
Again 8-4.
If Iowa loses, they could drop to a point where home field advantage could give M the predicted win. Otherwise, I don't see much more movement. I would really like to be saying best possible scenario is 9-3 rather than 8-4. Because we know the worst possible scenario is much uglier.
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I used the CFRC to make my picks in the family bowl pool (not to be confused with the GIANT jiMpossible-sarcasMike pool) - so far they are 2-2. I even used the differences in the tea,s rankings to make the confidence pick. That hurt quite a bit in the Fresno loss, not as much last night for BYU beating Oregon St
ReplyDeleteThat's an interesting way to do it.
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