Time to look foolish and make my first game-by-game prediction for Michigan football this season.
9/4 UConn - Win
9/11 @ Notre Dame - Loss
9/18 - UMass - Win
9/25 - Bowling Green - Win
10/2 - @ Indiana - Win
10/9 - MSU - Win
10/16 - Iowa - Loss
10/30 @ PSU - Loss
11/6 - Illinois - Win
11/13 @ Purdue - Win
11/20 - Wisconsin - Loss
11/27 - @ OSU - Loss
Make M 7-5 overall and 4-4 in conference. This will put M into... the Texas Bowl (in the old Cotton Bowl) against Missouri a win moves M to 8-5 overall...
80% confidence range (regular season games only) 5-7 wins
90% confidence range 4-8 wins
100% confidence range 4-9 wins
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I posted an early prediction here (http://apogee2.blogspot.com/2009/12/pre-bowl-2010-prediction.html) back in december. I gave a best case scenario at 8-4. I can't possibly think M is going to improve by 40 slots in the CFRC and reach that. I'm sticking with 6-7. Of course, my final prediction will take place some time before the first game.
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