Thursday, November 8, 2012

M vs. Northwestern prediction based on historical data

M is 177-49-1 in all games I have attended (data is for games I have attended unless otherwise mentioned)
M is 118-35-1 in conference games
M is 148-34-1 at Michigan Stadium
M is 50-29 against ranked opponents
M is 26-14 when unranked
M is 7-5 when unranked facing a ranked opponent (5 straight losses)
M is 2-2 against teams ranked #21 (1-1 against #21 Northwestern)
M is 12-3 vs. Northwestern
M is 28-5 when facing schools with "cat" based nicknames
M is 18-7-1 in the 6th game of the season
M is 40-13-1 in November
M is 30-11 vs. Private Schools
M is 21-5 when it was unsure who would start at QB (admittedly there is a lot of looking back with speculation in this number)
M is 34-7 with #16 as starting QB
M is 7-1 with #12 as starting QB
M is 14-3 against teams who are identified with a uniform stripe style (see Northwestern and UCLA)

It's easy when you add it all together...

M 31 Northwestern 17

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