Friday, November 8, 2013

Michigan Hoke and Awry, pt 2

To continue the issue of Michigan home and away under Hoke....

If you compare end of season (or current for this year) rankings, you'll see M plays teams close to their ranking, as you'd expect.  Wins at home, loses on the road (thus the term "home field advantage").

I only see two games that clearly doesn't follow that formula since Hoke has arrived (using CFRC rankings):

-Road 2011 Iowa #44, M#11.
You may count PSU this year, as well (CFRC PSU #48, M #34), but as you get this far down in the rankings, the teams are more of a jumble.  By the end of the year, the rankings will likely be more similar and it will be more clear that this isn't a road upset. .

At home, M (CFRC #34) beating ND this year (CFRC #24) is the only time Hoke has beaten a team that is higher ranked than M.

So, only 2 (or 3) games in his 2 1/2 seasons truly go along with the theme we keep hearing.

I win.

1 comment:

  1. It's interesting that if you look at it from a Vegas perspective M against the spread M is 24-2 in games where they were favored and 1-7 as underdogs. 2011 ND was the win as underdog; 2011 Iowa and 2013 PSU were the favored losses. Matches up pretty well with your CFRC comparison.