Opponent | First drive result |
---|---|
WMU | TD |
ND | Punt |
EMU | FG |
Indiana | TD |
MSU | FG |
Iowa | TD |
DelSt | TD |
PSU | TD |
Illinois | TD |
Utah | Punt |
Miami | TD |
ND | TO |
Wis | TO |
Illinois | Missed FG |
Toledo | Punt |
PSU | TD |
MSU | Punt |
Purdue | Punt |
Minn | FG |
NorthW | Missed FG |
OSU | Missed FG |
M scores on 52.38% Pct of first drives, when you add the 3 missed FGs as somewhat of a sign of success you get a 66.67% rate on opening drives.
After that M is not nearly as successful:
success | # drives |
---|---|
4 | 10 |
7 | 12 |
6 | 12 |
4 | 13 |
3 | 12 |
3 | 13 |
8 | 11 |
1 | 13 |
2 | 11 |
4 | 15 |
2 | 11 |
3 | 13 |
3 | 15 |
4 | 13 |
2 | 11 |
3 | 12 |
3 | 15 |
5 | 12 |
6 | 10 |
1 | 13 |
1 | 15 |
28.63% success for the remainder of drives. M has been particularly bad on opening drives of the 2nd half. Scoring on only 1 of 21 attempts for a 4.76% success rate. There is a missed FG in there and 2 turn over on downs that would lead me to think they had some success moving down the field. At the best this could be 4/21 of for 19.05%.
Obviously I have no previous data to compare this to, but it seems odd that there would be such a difference between opening drive success and the remainder of the game.
BrianGoBlog often stated last year that M would come out with a new wrinkle be successful and then when the other team adjusted M couldn't. The trend seemed to be lessened earlier this season, but the past few weeks I think M has really regressed after their first drives.
This site will give you data back to 2003.
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