Monday, November 2, 2009

First drives vs all others under RR

I got the feeling that M seems to have a very good first drive, but then tapers off under RR.



OpponentFirst drive result
WMUTD
NDPunt
EMUFG
IndianaTD
MSUFG
IowaTD
DelStTD
PSUTD
IllinoisTD
UtahPunt
MiamiTD
NDTO
WisTO
IllinoisMissed FG
ToledoPunt
PSUTD
MSUPunt
PurduePunt
MinnFG
NorthWMissed FG
OSUMissed FG

M scores on 52.38% Pct of first drives, when you add the 3 missed FGs as somewhat of a sign of success you get a 66.67% rate on opening drives.

After that M is not nearly as successful:




success# drives
410
712
612
413
312
313
811
113
211
415
211
313
315
413
211
312
315
512
610
113
115

28.63% success for the remainder of drives. M has been particularly bad on opening drives of the 2nd half. Scoring on only 1 of 21 attempts for a 4.76% success rate. There is a missed FG in there and 2 turn over on downs that would lead me to think they had some success moving down the field. At the best this could be 4/21 of for 19.05%.

Obviously I have no previous data to compare this to, but it seems odd that there would be such a difference between opening drive success and the remainder of the game.

BrianGoBlog often stated last year that M would come out with a new wrinkle be successful and then when the other team adjusted M couldn't. The trend seemed to be lessened earlier this season, but the past few weeks I think M has really regressed after their first drives.

1 comment:

  1. This site will give you data back to 2003.

    http://espn.go.com/college-football/schedule?

    ReplyDelete