During the last offseason, I used the CFRC to predict M's season. If you recall, made the assumption that, best case scenario, M would improve by 40 CFRC positions (1/3 of Div I-A). With that, I came up with a prediction of either 6-6 and a bowl loss or 5-7.
I know the season isn't over yet, but I decided to look forward to next season (for obvious reasons) and do it again.
M is currently #78. That means M improved 19 spots (not 40). I am still going to use 40 spots, because I want to be positive about next season. At # 38, here is what would happen (home field will be applied later.
Conn #52 Win
ND #39 Win
Mass Win
Bowling Grn #79 Win
IND #83 Win
MSU #51 Win
Iowa #14 Loss
PSU #16 Loss
ILL #86 Win
PU #74 Win
WIS #21 Loss
OSU #9 Loss
That's 8-4.
Accounting for home field
Conn #52 Win
at ND #39 That would be a loss
Mass Win
Bowling Grn #79 Win
at IND #83 Win
MSU #51 Win
Iowa #14 Loss
at PSU #16 Loss
ILL #86 Win
at PU #74 Win
WIS #21 This would be a win
at OSU #9 Loss
Again 8-4.
I will try to do this throughout the rest of the season and finally after the bowls are played. I expect M to drop a little after this weekend, then it will be interesting to see where everyone else moves. Wisconsin, with a good bowl victory could move high enough for me to take that home field win out. Other than that, I don't see any change in the predictions. We'll see.
Thursday, November 19, 2009
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