Penn State pick based on historical data

M is 159-40-1 in all games I have attended (all data is based on games I have attended unless specifically mentioned)
M is 133-28-1 in games played at Michigan Stadium
M is 8-1 against Penn State
M is 8-2 when facing a team for the 10th time
M is 111-28-1 against conference opponents
M is 39-11 against "state name" State Universities
M is 6-0 when unranked facing a ranked opponent
M is 21-8 when unranked
M is 2-2 against the 13th ranked team
M is 29-10-1 against teams with adjectives commonly used in their nicknames
M is 28-4 against teams with feline nicknames

It is simple when you add it all up:

M 21
PSU 20